Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalian Yingbo v Yunnan Yukun

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 11:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Prediction 47.16%2.12fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -3.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.07%47.32%46.82%51.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.931.952.0556.82%51.94%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yunnan Yukun (Visit)

Prediction 25.83%3.87fair odd
EV +7.18%
Edge +1.73%
Kelly +2.28%
Growth +0.164%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.80%25.57%26.30%28.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.683.504.1531.25%27.15%28.57%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.02%3.70fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -0.760%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.40%27.11%26.88%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.403.453.6033.33%29.38%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dalian Yingbo (Local): 47.16%; Yunnan Yukun (Visit): 25.83%; Draw: 27.02%. For Yunnan Yukun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.54%EV -6.16%E -3.10%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.80%EV +7.18%E +1.73%K +2.28%G +0.164%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.66%EV -13.81%E -4.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.36%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV +5.89%E +1.44%K +1.90%G +0.112%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -14.89%E -4.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 01:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.36%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV +5.89%E +1.44%K +1.90%G +0.112%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -14.89%E -4.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 01:45
Bovada🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.36%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV +5.89%E +1.44%K +1.90%G +0.112%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -14.89%E -4.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 19:26
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.36%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV +5.89%E +1.44%K +1.90%G +0.112%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -14.89%E -4.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:24
GTbets🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.31%EV -3.80%E -1.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.71%EV +5.11%E +1.26%K +1.67%G +0.085%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.98%EV -10.03%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 13:49
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.99%EV -6.16%E -3.10%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.76%EV +3.82%E +0.951%K +1.27%G +0.048%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.25%EV -8.68%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -15.12%E -8.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV +3.31%E +0.827%K +1.10%G +0.036%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 06:19
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -15.12%E -8.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV +3.31%E +0.827%K +1.10%G +0.036%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 06:19
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -15.12%E -8.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV +3.31%E +0.827%K +1.10%G +0.036%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 06:20
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -15.12%E -8.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV +3.31%E +0.827%K +1.10%G +0.036%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 06:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -15.12%E -8.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV +3.31%E +0.827%K +1.10%G +0.036%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 06:19
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -15.12%E -8.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV +3.31%E +0.827%K +1.10%G +0.036%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 06:19
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -15.12%E -8.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV +3.31%E +0.827%K +1.10%G +0.036%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 06:19
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -15.12%E -8.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV +3.31%E +0.827%K +1.10%G +0.036%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 07:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -16.06%E -9.02%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV +2.02%E +0.510%K +0.683%G +0.014%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 06:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -8.99%E -4.66%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV +0.724%E +0.186%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -11.38%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 01:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.17%EV -17.01%E -9.66%K -22.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV +0.724%E +0.186%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 08:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.17%EV -17.01%E -9.66%K -22.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV +0.724%E +0.186%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 07:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -11.82%E -6.32%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -1.86%E -0.489%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 13:43
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.15%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:45
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.64%EV -4.27%E -2.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -2.74%E -0.760%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 23:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.79%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:40
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.05%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 18:39
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.05%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 18:39
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 09:40
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 09:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.05%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 13:45
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -18.95%E -6.32%K -9.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -7.57%E -3.86%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -10.90%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -14.89%E -4.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 14:55
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 23:19
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 23:19
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.05%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -8.52%E -4.39%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 09:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.65%EV -13.23%E -7.19%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 09:34
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.05%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.77%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -2.74%E -0.760%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 13:53
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.48%EV -10.40%E -5.48%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.19%EV -14.77%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.33%EV -17.60%E -5.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 14:54
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -17.35%E -5.42%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -2.74%E -0.760%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 13:45
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -17.35%E -5.42%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -2.74%E -0.760%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 13:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -17.35%E -5.42%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -2.74%E -0.760%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -17.35%E -5.42%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -2.74%E -0.760%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -9.93%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -17.35%E -5.42%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -16.25%E -5.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-04-24 00:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%4.2%2026-04-23 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%4.2%2026-04-23 20:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%4.2%2026-04-23 20:50