Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dalian Yingbo v Yunnan Yukun

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 11:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Prévision 47.16%2.12cote équitable
EV -3.33%
Avantage -1.62%
Kelly -3.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.07%47.32%46.82%51.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.761.931.952.0556.82%51.94%51.28%48.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Yunnan Yukun (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.83%3.87cote équitable
EV +7.18%
Avantage +1.73%
Kelly +2.28%
Croissance +0.164%

avec la cote maximale 4.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.80%25.57%26.30%28.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.683.504.1531.25%27.15%28.57%24.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.02%3.70cote équitable
EV -2.74%
Avantage -0.760%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.40%27.11%26.88%30.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.403.453.6033.33%29.38%28.99%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Dalian Yingbo (Local) : 47.16% ; Yunnan Yukun (Visiteur) : 25.83% ; Match nul : 27.02%. Pour Yunnan Yukun (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.87. 19 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.15, soit une espérance positive de +7.18%.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.54%EV -6.16%E -3.10%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.80%EV +7.18%E +1.73%K +2.28%G +0.164%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.66%EV -13.81%E -4.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.36%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV +5.89%E +1.44%K +1.90%G +0.112%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -14.89%E -4.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 01:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.36%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV +5.89%E +1.44%K +1.90%G +0.112%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -14.89%E -4.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 01:45
Bovada🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.36%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV +5.89%E +1.44%K +1.90%G +0.112%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -14.89%E -4.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 19:26
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.36%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV +5.89%E +1.44%K +1.90%G +0.112%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -14.89%E -4.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:24
GTbets🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.31%EV -3.80%E -1.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.71%EV +5.11%E +1.26%K +1.67%G +0.085%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.98%EV -10.03%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 13:49
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.99%EV -6.16%E -3.10%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.76%EV +3.82%E +0.951%K +1.27%G +0.048%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.25%EV -8.68%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -15.12%E -8.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV +3.31%E +0.827%K +1.10%G +0.036%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 06:19
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -15.12%E -8.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV +3.31%E +0.827%K +1.10%G +0.036%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 06:19
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -15.12%E -8.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV +3.31%E +0.827%K +1.10%G +0.036%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 06:20
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -15.12%E -8.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV +3.31%E +0.827%K +1.10%G +0.036%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 06:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -15.12%E -8.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV +3.31%E +0.827%K +1.10%G +0.036%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 06:19
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -15.12%E -8.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV +3.31%E +0.827%K +1.10%G +0.036%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 06:19
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -15.12%E -8.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV +3.31%E +0.827%K +1.10%G +0.036%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 06:19
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -15.12%E -8.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV +3.31%E +0.827%K +1.10%G +0.036%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 07:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -16.06%E -9.02%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV +2.02%E +0.510%K +0.683%G +0.014%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 06:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -8.99%E -4.66%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV +0.724%E +0.186%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -11.38%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 01:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.17%EV -17.01%E -9.66%K -22.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV +0.724%E +0.186%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 08:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.17%EV -17.01%E -9.66%K -22.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV +0.724%E +0.186%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 07:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -11.82%E -6.32%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -1.86%E -0.489%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 13:43
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.15%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:45
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.64%EV -4.27%E -2.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -2.74%E -0.760%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 23:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.79%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:40
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.05%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 18:39
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.05%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 18:39
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 09:40
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 09:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.05%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 13:45
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -18.95%E -6.32%K -9.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -7.57%E -3.86%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -10.90%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -14.89%E -4.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 14:55
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 23:19
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 23:19
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.05%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -8.52%E -4.39%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 09:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.65%EV -13.23%E -7.19%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 09:34
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.05%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.77%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -2.74%E -0.760%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 13:53
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.48%EV -10.40%E -5.48%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.19%EV -14.77%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.33%EV -17.60%E -5.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 14:54
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -17.35%E -5.42%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -2.74%E -0.760%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 13:45
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -17.35%E -5.42%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -2.74%E -0.760%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 13:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -17.35%E -5.42%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -2.74%E -0.760%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -17.35%E -5.42%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -2.74%E -0.760%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -9.93%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -17.35%E -5.42%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -16.25%E -5.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-04-24 00:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%4.2%2026-04-23 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%4.2%2026-04-23 20:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%4.2%2026-04-23 20:50