Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.70
assuming max odds 5.30
assuming max odds 4.33
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dalian Yingbo (Local): 58.28%; Wuhan Three Towns (Visit): 19.24%; Draw: 22.48%. For Wuhan Three Towns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.20. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.00%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.88%EV -8.50%E -5.42%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV +2.00%E +0.376%K +0.464%G +0.009% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -8.50%E -5.42%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV +2.00%E +0.376%K +0.464%G +0.009% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.27%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.40%EV +0.456%E +0.087%K +0.108%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -3.35%E -0.778%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV +0.071%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 11:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.10%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -3.35%E -0.778%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.10%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -3.35%E -0.778%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -6.17%E -3.83%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -10.83%E -7.08%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.78%EV -7.34%E -4.62%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 18.81%EV -4.36%E -0.876%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.41%EV -6.27%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -8.50%E -5.42%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -7.63%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -7.63%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -7.63%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -7.63%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -4.47%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 11:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -8.50%E -5.42%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -2.67%E -0.617%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 11:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 11:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.50%E -5.42%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -7.92%E -5.01%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -15.71%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -9.55%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -8.50%E -5.42%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -9.55%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 11:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.02%EV -0.927%E -0.545%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.35%EV -9.94%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.63%EV -9.42%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -10.51%E -2.26%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -8.97%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -3.26%E -1.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.34%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -3.26%E -1.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.34%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -3.26%E -1.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.34%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -3.26%E -1.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.34%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -3.26%E -1.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.34%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -3.26%E -1.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.34%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -12.34%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -13.46%E -3.50%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -7.92%E -5.01%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.50%E -5.42%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -12.34%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.50%E -5.42%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -12.34%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.88%EV -6.17%E -3.83%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -15.32%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.88%EV -6.17%E -3.83%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -15.32%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 11:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -10.83%E -7.08%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -16.67%E -3.85%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-04 11:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.04%EV -10.25%E -6.66%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -17.25%E -4.01%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -12.34%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-04 11:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.26% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.26% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.08% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.08% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |