L’École des cotes

Dalian Yingbo v Wuhan Three Towns

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-04 11:35 UTC

Score final : Dalian Yingbo 3–2 Wuhan Three Towns

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Prévision 58.28%1.72cote équitable
EV -0.927%
Avantage -0.545%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.85%58.25%58.29%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.601.601.7065.36%62.41%62.50%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wuhan Three Towns (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.24%5.20cote équitable
EV +2.00%
Avantage +0.376%
Kelly +0.464%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.64%19.23%19.26%20.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.754.755.3023.26%21.05%21.05%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.48%4.45cote équitable
EV -2.67%
Avantage -0.617%
Kelly -0.802%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.42%22.52%22.45%24.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.034.004.3326.67%24.79%25.00%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.88%EV -8.50%E -5.42%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV +2.00%E +0.376%K +0.464%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 11:25
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -8.50%E -5.42%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV +2.00%E +0.376%K +0.464%G +0.009%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 11:20
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.27%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.40%EV +0.456%E +0.087%K +0.108%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -3.35%E -0.778%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV +0.071%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 11:10
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 11:25
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.10%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -3.35%E -0.778%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.10%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -3.35%E -0.778%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 11:30
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -6.17%E -3.83%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 11:15
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -10.83%E -7.08%K -20.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-04 11:20
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.78%EV -7.34%E -4.62%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.81%EV -4.36%E -0.876%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.41%EV -6.27%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 11:30
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 11:30
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 11:30
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -8.50%E -5.42%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 11:30
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -7.63%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 11:20
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -7.63%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 11:25
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -7.63%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 11:20
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -7.63%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 11:20
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -4.47%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 11:25
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 11:10
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -8.50%E -5.42%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -2.67%E -0.617%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 11:30
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 11:10
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 11:10
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.50%E -5.42%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 11:20
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -7.92%E -5.01%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 11:25
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -15.71%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 11:25
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -9.55%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 11:10
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -8.50%E -5.42%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -9.55%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-04 11:10
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 56.02%EV -0.927%E -0.545%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.35%EV -9.94%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.63%EV -9.42%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 11:10
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -10.51%E -2.26%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -8.97%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 11:30
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -3.26%E -1.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.34%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -3.26%E -1.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.34%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:20
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -3.26%E -1.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.34%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:20
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -3.26%E -1.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.34%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:20
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -3.26%E -1.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.34%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:20
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -3.26%E -1.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.34%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:20
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 11:25
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -12.34%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -13.46%E -3.50%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -7.92%E -5.01%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.50%E -5.42%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -12.34%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 11:30
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.50%E -5.42%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -12.34%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 11:30
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.88%EV -6.17%E -3.83%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -15.32%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.88%EV -6.17%E -3.83%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -15.32%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -14.59%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 11:20
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -10.83%E -7.08%K -20.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -16.67%E -3.85%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -10.09%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-04 11:15
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.04%EV -10.25%E -6.66%K -18.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -17.25%E -4.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -12.34%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-04 11:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.26%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%0.6%2026-07-04 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.26%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%0.6%2026-07-04 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.08%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-07-04 11:25
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.08%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-07-04 11:30