Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalian Yingbo v Shanghai SIPG FC

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 11:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Prediction 31.78%3.15fair odd
EV +0.110%
Edge +0.035%
Kelly +0.051%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.05%31.60%31.88%32.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.942.903.1538.46%34.00%34.48%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit)

Prediction 44.39%2.25fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.91%44.58%44.37%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.042.052.2054.64%49.12%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.83%4.20fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -0.989%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.83%23.82%23.74%27.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.813.854.0332.26%26.24%25.97%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dalian Yingbo (Local): 31.78%; Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit): 44.39%; Draw: 23.83%. For Dalian Yingbo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.147. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.150, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.110%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -13.43%E -6.89%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 10:45
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%EV -13.88%E -7.15%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 10:45
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%EV -13.88%E -7.15%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 10:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%EV -13.88%E -7.15%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 10:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%EV -13.88%E -7.15%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 10:45
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%EV -13.88%E -7.15%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 10:45
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%EV -13.88%E -7.15%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 10:44
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%EV -13.88%E -7.15%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 10:45
GTbets🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.37%EV -1.16%E -0.373%K -0.550%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.84%EV -8.55%E -4.15%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.79%EV -5.41%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -1.48%E -0.477%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.08%EV -14.32%E -7.42%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 10:44
LowVig.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.16%EV -2.11%E -0.687%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.00%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 10:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.16%EV -2.11%E -0.687%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.00%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 10:44
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.10%EV -15.65%E -8.24%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-20 10:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.10%EV -15.65%E -8.24%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-20 10:45
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.14%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.08%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 10:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -11.21%E -5.61%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 10:45
NordicBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -5.29%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 10:50
Betsson🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -5.29%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 10:50
Pinnacle🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.39%EV -5.61%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.87%EV -3.98%E -0.989%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 10:50
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 10:44
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.47%EV -5.89%E -2.78%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 10:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.02%EV -9.44%E -4.63%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 10:50
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.50%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 10:49
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.50%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 10:50
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 10:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 10:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.92%EV -6.33%E -3.00%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.13%EV -8.51%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 10:50
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 10:44
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 10:44
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.47%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 10:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -8.47%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.71%EV -18.76%E -10.25%K -22.60%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 23.61%EV -13.75%E -3.80%K -5.25%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-20 10:45
SportsBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -8.79%E -3.06%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 10:50
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.29%EV -9.42%E -3.31%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.82%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 10:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -9.42%E -3.31%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.68%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-20 10:45
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 10:50
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 10:49
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 10:50
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-20 10:50
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-20 10:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.47%EV -15.65%E -8.24%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.67%EV -13.04%E -3.57%K -4.92%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-20 10:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.03%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.48%EV -12.10%E -6.11%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-20 10:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.05%EV -14.19%E -5.26%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.91%EV -11.21%E -5.61%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.04%EV -26.14%E -8.43%K -12.45%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-20 10:50
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 32.56%EV -16.73%E -6.39%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.75%EV -13.43%E -6.89%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-20 10:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 31.92%EV -17.37%E -6.68%K -10.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 43.68%EV -15.65%E -8.24%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.41%EV -18.99%E -5.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-20 10:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-03-20 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-03-20 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95%1.8%2026-03-20 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95%1.8%2026-03-20 10:50
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.13%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-03-20 10:45