La escuela de los momios

Dalian Yingbo v Shanghai SIPG FC

Inicio: 2026-03-20 11:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Predicción 31.78%3.15momio equitativo
EV +0.110%
Ventaja +0.035%
Kelly +0.051%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.05%31.60%31.88%32.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.942.903.1538.46%34.00%34.48%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shanghai SIPG FC (Visitante)

Predicción 44.39%2.25momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.91%44.58%44.37%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.832.042.052.2054.64%49.12%48.78%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.83%4.20momio equitativo
EV -3.98%
Ventaja -0.989%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.83%23.82%23.74%27.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.813.854.0332.26%26.24%25.97%24.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -13.43%E -6.89%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 10:45
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%EV -13.88%E -7.15%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 10:45
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%EV -13.88%E -7.15%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 10:45
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%EV -13.88%E -7.15%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 10:45
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%EV -13.88%E -7.15%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 10:45
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%EV -13.88%E -7.15%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 10:45
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%EV -13.88%E -7.15%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 10:44
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%EV -13.88%E -7.15%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 10:45
GTbets3.11I 32.15%NM 30.37%EV -1.16%E -0.373%K -0.550%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.84%EV -8.55%E -4.15%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.79%EV -5.41%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -1.48%E -0.477%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.08%EV -14.32%E -7.42%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 10:44
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.16%EV -2.11%E -0.687%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.00%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 10:50
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.16%EV -2.11%E -0.687%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.00%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 10:44
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.10%EV -15.65%E -8.24%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-20 10:45
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.10%EV -15.65%E -8.24%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-20 10:45
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.14%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.08%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 10:50
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -11.21%E -5.61%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 10:45
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -5.29%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 10:50
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -5.29%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 10:50
Pinnacle2.97I 33.67%NM 32.39%EV -5.61%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.87%EV -3.98%E -0.989%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 10:50
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 10:44
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.47%EV -5.89%E -2.78%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 10:50
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.02%EV -9.44%E -4.63%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 10:50
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.50%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 10:49
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.50%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 10:50
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 10:49
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 10:50
Marathon Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.92%EV -6.33%E -3.00%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.13%EV -8.51%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 10:50
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 10:44
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 10:44
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.47%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 10:49
Unibet (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -8.47%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.71%EV -18.76%E -10.25%K -22.60%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 23.61%EV -13.75%E -3.80%K -5.25%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-20 10:45
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -8.79%E -3.06%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 10:50
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.29%EV -9.42%E -3.31%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.82%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 10:50
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -9.42%E -3.31%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.68%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-20 10:45
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 10:50
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 10:49
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 10:50
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-20 10:50
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-20 10:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.47%EV -15.65%E -8.24%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.67%EV -13.04%E -3.57%K -4.92%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-20 10:50
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.03%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.48%EV -12.10%E -6.11%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-20 10:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.05%EV -14.19%E -5.26%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.91%EV -11.21%E -5.61%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.04%EV -26.14%E -8.43%K -12.45%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-20 10:50
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 32.56%EV -16.73%E -6.39%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.75%EV -13.43%E -6.89%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-20 10:45
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 31.92%EV -17.37%E -6.68%K -10.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 43.68%EV -15.65%E -8.24%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.41%EV -18.99%E -5.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-20 10:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-03-20 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-03-20 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95%1.8%2026-03-20 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95%1.8%2026-03-20 10:50
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.13%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-03-20 10:45