Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dalian Yingbo v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Início: 2026-09-05 11:35 UTC

Final: Dalian Yingbo 2–1 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Previsão 64.66%1.55odd justa
EV -3.01%
Vantagem -2.01%
Kelly -6.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.17%64.57%64.75%66.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.361.441.441.5073.53%69.62%69.44%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visitante)

Previsão 14.99%6.67odd justa
EV +1.21%
Vantagem +0.179%
Kelly +0.210%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.84%15.11%15.02%17.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.006.006.006.7520.00%16.67%16.67%14.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.35%4.91odd justa
EV -2.13%
Vantagem -0.442%
Kelly -0.558%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.08%20.32%20.23%22.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.474.404.8125.00%22.37%22.73%20.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Dalian Yingbo (Local): 64.66%; Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visitante): 14.99%; Empate: 20.35%. Para Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.67. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.21%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +1.21%E +0.179%K +0.210%G +0.003%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -8.44%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 15:20
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.65%EV -6.24%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.56%EV -1.94%E -0.297%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.79%EV -2.13%E -0.442%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 11:50
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -6.24%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -2.54%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -4.37%E -0.929%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 11:39
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.20%EV -8.83%E -6.26%K -21.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -2.54%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -2.33%E -0.486%K -0.613%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 11:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -2.54%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -3.35%E -0.705%K -0.893%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 10:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.18%E -5.76%K -19.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -2.54%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.44%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 12:00
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.83%E -6.26%K -21.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -2.54%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.44%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 12:00
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -2.54%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.44%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 15:19
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.84%EV -11.42%E -8.33%K -30.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -2.54%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -2.33%E -0.486%K -0.613%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 11:37
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -2.54%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 16:10
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -2.54%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 16:20
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -12.06%E -8.87%K -33.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -2.54%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -8.44%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-02 11:48
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -4.04%E -0.631%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -4.37%E -0.929%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -4.04%E -0.631%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -4.37%E -0.929%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:55
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -4.04%E -0.631%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -4.37%E -0.929%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:00
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.84%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.06%EV -5.09%E -0.804%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.11%EV -3.55%E -0.749%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 11:45
GTbets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.70%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.11%EV -6.29%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.18%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 21:44
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.54%E -5.27%K -17.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -6.29%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -6.40%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 11:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.63%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.69%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.82%EV -7.04%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -4.37%E -0.929%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.79%EV -7.54%E -5.27%K -17.53%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.07%EV -7.79%E -1.27%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.40%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 11:39
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.13%EV -7.54%E -5.27%K -17.53%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -8.54%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 10:50
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.13%EV -7.54%E -5.27%K -17.53%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -8.54%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 10:49
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -3.35%E -0.705%K -0.893%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 07:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -6.24%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.40%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 11:40
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 11:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 11:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 11:39
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.54%E -3.46%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 04:45
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.54%E -3.46%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 04:45
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -6.24%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 11:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.49%EV -8.18%E -5.76%K -19.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -13.04%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -12.50%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-01 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.69%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.40%EV -13.04%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -12.50%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 11:35
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -13.79%E -2.40%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.44%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.73%EV -8.18%E -5.76%K -19.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.16%EV -16.04%E -2.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -8.44%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 11:40
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -17.54%E -3.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -17.54%E -3.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 12:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -17.54%E -3.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 12:49
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -17.54%E -3.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 12:50
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -17.54%E -3.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 12:50
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -17.54%E -3.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 12:49
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -17.54%E -3.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 14:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.39%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.44%EV -19.03%E -3.52%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.17%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-02 11:40
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.40%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV -22.03%E -4.24%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -13.52%E -3.18%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 12:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.53%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -23.53%E -4.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.10%EV -14.54%E -3.46%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 12:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.17%EV -7.54%E -5.27%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.49%EV -25.03%E -5.01%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -16.57%E -4.04%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-03 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.17%EV -7.54%E -5.27%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.49%EV -25.03%E -5.01%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -16.57%E -4.04%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-03 11:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78%1.1%2026-09-04 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 66.60%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.26%2.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 66.60%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.26%2.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 66.60%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.26%2.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Matchbook◎1.46I 68.49%NM 66.60%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.26%2.8%2026-09-04 14:35