L’École des cotesFrançais
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Henan FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)
Prévision 30.99%3.23cote équitable
EV -0.825%
Avantage -0.258%
Kelly -0.375%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.02%31.16%30.81%35.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.902.953.2040.00%34.46%33.90%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Henan FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.07%2.63cote équitable
EV +0.129%
Avantage +0.049%
Kelly +0.079%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.63
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.15%37.89%38.17%38.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.482.452.6343.48%40.38%40.82%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.94%3.23cote équitable
EV -1.00%
Avantage -0.314%
Kelly -0.456%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.49%30.96%31.02%32.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.983.003.2037.04%33.55%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 08:50 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 08:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 08:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -22.52%E -9.01%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-05 06:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -22.52%E -9.01%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-05 06:54 |
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 08:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -17.87%E -6.74%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -17.87%E -6.74%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -3.92%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.43%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.90%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 08:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -3.92%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.43%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.90%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 08:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%EV -2.37%E -0.754%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.79%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.07%EV -0.825%E -0.258%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.49%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.44%EV -5.34%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| DraftKings | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -5.47%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 07:55 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 07:55 |
| GTbets | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.84%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.21%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| FanDuel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -8.57%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -1.00%E -0.314%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 08:34 |
| Bovada | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.47%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.57%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 08:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -5.47%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.80%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -9.98%E -3.43%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.57%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 08:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 08:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.87%E -3.25%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 08:34 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.87%E -3.25%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.16%EV -8.25%E -3.42%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 08:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.74%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-05 08:34 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.39%E -3.95%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-05 08:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -13.22%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.39%E -3.95%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-05 08:34 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -12.44%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -10.90%E -3.79%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| Neds | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -10.74%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -12.44%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -10.74%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -12.44%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -13.22%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -12.44%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-05 08:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -13.22%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -12.44%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.47%E -6.10%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-05 09:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86% | 1.3% | 2026-05-05 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86% | 1.3% | 2026-05-05 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86% | 1.3% | 2026-05-05 09:10 |
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07% | 3.2% | 2026-05-05 08:25 |