مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Henan FC

البداية: 2026-05-05 12:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1–1 Henan FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.99%3.23السعر العادل
EV -0.825%
الأفضلية -0.258%
Kelly -0.375%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.02%31.16%30.81%35.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.902.953.2040.00%34.46%33.90%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Henan FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.07%2.63السعر العادل
EV +0.129%
الأفضلية +0.049%
Kelly +0.079%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.15%37.89%38.17%38.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.482.452.6343.48%40.38%40.82%38.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.94%3.23السعر العادل
EV -1.00%
الأفضلية -0.314%
Kelly -0.456%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.49%30.96%31.02%32.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.983.003.2037.04%33.55%33.33%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 08:45
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 08:45
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 08:50
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 08:45
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 08:49
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 08:49
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 08:45
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -22.52%E -9.01%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-05 06:54
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -22.52%E -9.01%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-05 06:54
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 08:29
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -17.87%E -6.74%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -17.87%E -6.74%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-05 08:45
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -3.92%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.43%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.90%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 08:30
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -3.92%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.43%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.90%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 08:30
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%EV -2.37%E -0.754%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.79%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 09:05
Pinnacle3.20I 31.25%NM 30.07%EV -0.825%E -0.258%K -0.375%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.49%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.44%EV -5.34%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 09:05
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -5.47%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 07:55
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 08:35
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 07:55
GTbets3.06I 32.68%NM 30.84%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.21%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 09:04
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -8.57%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -1.00%E -0.314%K -0.456%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 08:34
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 09:00
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.47%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 08:35
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.57%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 08:34
Marathon Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -5.47%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.80%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -9.98%E -3.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 09:00
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.57%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 08:35
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 08:35
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-05 08:35
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-05 08:34
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-05 08:34
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-05 08:35
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.87%E -3.25%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 08:34
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.87%E -3.25%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 08:35
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.16%EV -8.25%E -3.42%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 08:35
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 08:35
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-05 08:59
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.74%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 08:34
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.39%E -3.95%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 08:29
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -13.22%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.39%E -3.95%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 09:04
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-05 08:34
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-05 09:00
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -12.44%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -10.90%E -3.79%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-05 09:04
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -10.74%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -12.44%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-05 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -10.74%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -12.44%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-05 09:05
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -13.22%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -12.44%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-05 08:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -13.22%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -12.44%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.47%E -6.10%K -9.69%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-05 09:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-05-05 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%1.3%2026-05-05 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%1.3%2026-05-05 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%1.3%2026-05-05 09:10
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07%3.2%2026-05-05 08:25