La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Henan FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)
Predicción 30.99%3.23momio equitativo
EV -0.825%
Ventaja -0.258%
Kelly -0.375%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.02%31.16%30.81%35.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.902.953.2040.00%34.46%33.90%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Henan FC (Visitante)
Predicción 38.07%2.63momio equitativo
EV +0.129%
Ventaja +0.049%
Kelly +0.079%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.15%37.89%38.17%38.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.482.452.6343.48%40.38%40.82%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.94%3.23momio equitativo
EV -1.00%
Ventaja -0.314%
Kelly -0.456%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.49%30.96%31.02%32.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.983.003.2037.04%33.55%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 08:50 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 08:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 08:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -22.52%E -9.01%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-05 06:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -22.52%E -9.01%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-05 06:54 |
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 08:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -17.87%E -6.74%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -17.87%E -6.74%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -3.92%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.43%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.90%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 08:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -3.92%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.43%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.90%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 08:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%EV -2.37%E -0.754%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.79%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.07%EV -0.825%E -0.258%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.49%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.44%EV -5.34%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| DraftKings | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -5.47%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 07:55 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 07:55 |
| GTbets | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.84%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.21%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| FanDuel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -8.57%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -1.00%E -0.314%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 08:34 |
| Bovada | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.47%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.57%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 08:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -5.47%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.80%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -9.98%E -3.43%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.57%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 08:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 08:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.87%E -3.25%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 08:34 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.87%E -3.25%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.16%EV -8.25%E -3.42%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 08:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.74%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-05 08:34 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.39%E -3.95%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-05 08:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -13.22%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.39%E -3.95%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-05 08:34 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -12.44%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -10.90%E -3.79%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| Neds | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -10.74%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -12.44%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -10.74%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -12.44%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -13.22%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -12.44%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-05 08:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -13.22%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -12.44%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.47%E -6.10%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-05 09:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86% | 1.3% | 2026-05-05 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86% | 1.3% | 2026-05-05 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86% | 1.3% | 2026-05-05 09:10 |
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07% | 3.2% | 2026-05-05 08:25 |