Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Beijing FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 07:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Beijing FC (Local)

Prediction 43.24%2.31fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.92%43.17%43.26%44.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.132.152.2252.63%47.00%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit)

Prediction 31.75%3.15fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.715%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.16%31.67%31.78%32.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.912.923.0838.46%34.35%34.25%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.01%4.00fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -0.570%
Kelly -0.766%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.96%25.16%24.95%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.573.603.9131.25%28.01%27.78%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Beijing FC (Local): 43.24%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit): 31.75%; Draw: 25.01%. For Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.08, with an expected value of -2.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.67%EV -4.00%E -1.80%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.47%EV -2.20%E -0.715%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 07:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.67%EV -4.00%E -1.80%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.47%EV -2.20%E -0.715%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 07:10
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.38%EV -4.00%E -1.80%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.99%EV -4.43%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.63%EV -2.23%E -0.570%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 07:20
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.33%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.73%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 07:24
Bovada🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.35%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -6.33%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 07:22
BetUS🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.35%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -6.33%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 07:25
LeoVegas🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -3.16%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -16.23%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 09:00
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -3.16%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -16.23%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -3.16%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -16.23%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 09:00
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -3.16%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -16.23%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 09:00
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -3.16%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -16.23%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 09:00
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -3.16%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -16.23%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -3.16%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -16.23%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 09:00
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -3.16%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -16.23%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 09:00
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.95%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.74%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -3.73%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 07:09
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -6.33%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 07:09
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 07:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 07:24
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.32%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.36%EV -5.70%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.31%EV -7.98%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 06:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.52%EV -6.65%E -2.26%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 07:24
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.00%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.28%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 06:50
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.00%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.28%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 06:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.51%E -3.34%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 07:20
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.55%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 06:40
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 06:45
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 06:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 06:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 06:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -4.74%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -16.23%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 09:00
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.46%E -3.49%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.26%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.06%EV -6.73%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 07:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.99%EV -7.89%E -3.71%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 06:55
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -9.51%E -3.34%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 07:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.18%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -6.33%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -18.73%E -5.76%K -8.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-17 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.18%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -6.33%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -18.73%E -5.76%K -8.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-17 08:59
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 07:25
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.51%E -3.34%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 07:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -9.51%E -3.34%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 06:55
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.25%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -9.51%E -3.34%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 07:20
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -11.09%E -3.96%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 06:50
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.09%E -3.96%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 06:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.09%E -3.96%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 06:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.09%EV -12.68%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-21 06:50
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.12%EV -13.52%E -6.76%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.92%EV -16.81%E -6.42%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-21 06:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.92%EV -13.52%E -6.76%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.88%EV -16.49%E -6.27%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -19.98%E -6.24%K -9.08%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-21 06:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 43.31%EV -13.95%E -7.01%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.34%EV -12.68%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.35%EV -14.98%E -4.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-21 07:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.00%EV -16.11%E -8.30%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.04%EV -12.68%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 24.96%EV -14.48%E -4.23%K -5.98%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-21 07:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 43.52%EV -17.84%E -9.39%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.80%EV -17.44%E -6.71%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.68%EV -16.23%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%20.9%2026-03-21 07:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-03-21 07:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-03-21 06:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-03-21 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-03-21 07:25
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-03-21 07:00