La escuela de los momios

Beijing FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Inicio: 2026-03-21 07:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Beijing FC (Local)

Predicción 43.24%2.31momio equitativo
EV -4.00%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -3.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.92%43.17%43.26%44.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.132.152.2252.63%47.00%46.51%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante)

Predicción 31.75%3.15momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -0.715%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.16%31.67%31.78%32.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.912.923.0838.46%34.35%34.25%32.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.01%4.00momio equitativo
EV -2.23%
Ventaja -0.570%
Kelly -0.766%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.96%25.16%24.95%27.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.573.603.9131.25%28.01%27.78%25.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.67%EV -4.00%E -1.80%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.47%EV -2.20%E -0.715%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 07:10
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.67%EV -4.00%E -1.80%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.47%EV -2.20%E -0.715%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 07:10
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.38%EV -4.00%E -1.80%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.99%EV -4.43%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.63%EV -2.23%E -0.570%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 07:20
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.33%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.73%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 07:24
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 43.35%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -6.33%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 07:22
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 43.35%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -6.33%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 07:25
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -3.16%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -16.23%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 09:00
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -3.16%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -16.23%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 09:00
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -3.16%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -16.23%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 09:00
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -3.16%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -16.23%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 09:00
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -3.16%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -16.23%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 09:00
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -3.16%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -16.23%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 09:00
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -3.16%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -16.23%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 09:00
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -6.16%E -2.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -3.16%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -16.23%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 09:00
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.95%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.74%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -3.73%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 07:09
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -6.33%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 07:09
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 07:10
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 07:24
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 43.32%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.36%EV -5.70%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.31%EV -7.98%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 06:45
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.52%EV -6.65%E -2.26%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 07:24
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.00%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.28%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 06:50
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.00%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.28%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 06:50
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.51%E -3.34%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 07:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.55%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 06:40
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 06:45
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 06:44
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 06:45
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 06:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -4.74%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -16.23%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 09:00
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.46%E -3.49%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.26%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.06%EV -6.73%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 07:20
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 42.99%EV -7.89%E -3.71%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 06:55
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -9.51%E -3.34%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 07:25
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.18%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -6.33%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -18.73%E -5.76%K -8.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-17 09:00
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.18%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -6.33%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -18.73%E -5.76%K -8.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-17 08:59
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 07:25
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.51%E -3.34%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 07:25
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -9.51%E -3.34%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 06:55
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.25%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -9.51%E -3.34%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 07:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -11.09%E -3.96%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 06:50
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.09%E -3.96%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 06:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.09%E -3.96%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 06:45
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.09%EV -12.68%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-21 06:50
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.12%EV -13.52%E -6.76%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.92%EV -16.81%E -6.42%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-21 06:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.92%EV -13.52%E -6.76%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.88%EV -16.49%E -6.27%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -19.98%E -6.24%K -9.08%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-21 06:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 43.31%EV -13.95%E -7.01%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.34%EV -12.68%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.35%EV -14.98%E -4.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-21 07:09
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 44.00%EV -16.11%E -8.30%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.04%EV -12.68%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 24.96%EV -14.48%E -4.23%K -5.98%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-21 07:20
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.52%EV -17.84%E -9.39%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.80%EV -17.44%E -6.71%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.68%EV -16.23%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%20.9%2026-03-21 07:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-03-21 07:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-03-21 06:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-03-21 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-03-21 07:25
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-03-21 07:00