La scuola delle quote

Beijing FC v Henan FC

Inizio: 2026-05-23 11:35 UTC

Finale: Beijing FC 1–2 Henan FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Beijing FC (Casa)

Previsione 56.58%1.77quota equa
EV -4.38%
Vantaggio -2.59%
Kelly -6.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.46%56.77%56.59%60.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.631.651.6966.67%61.31%60.61%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Henan FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.29%4.93quota equa
EV +9.57%
Vantaggio +1.77%
Kelly +2.18%
Crescita +0.208%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.20%20.12%20.27%21.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.104.584.605.4024.39%21.84%21.74%18.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.13%4.32quota equa
EV -2.64%
Vantaggio -0.627%
Kelly -0.822%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.11%23.11%23.14%24.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.933.904.2128.57%25.42%25.64%23.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 60.69%EV -13.43%E -8.78%K -25.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV +9.57%E +1.77%K +2.18%G +0.208%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -2.87%E -0.683%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 11:09
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -11.17%E -7.11%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV +1.46%E +0.291%K +0.364%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 11:09
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -13.43%E -8.78%K -25.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV +1.46%E +0.291%K +0.364%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 11:09
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.29%EV +1.05%E +0.211%K +0.264%G +0.003%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.20%EV -4.26%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 11:30
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.22%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.47%EV -1.59%E -0.327%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.31%EV -6.34%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 11:27
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -2.60%E -0.542%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 11:19
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -2.60%E -0.542%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 11:19
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -2.60%E -0.542%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 11:19
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.27%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -2.60%E -0.542%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 11:19
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -9.47%E -5.92%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -2.60%E -0.542%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.81%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 11:18
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 10:50
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.54%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.30%EV -7.96%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:29
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 05:29
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 05:28
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 05:29
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 05:29
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 05:28
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 05:28
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 05:29
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 11:19
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 11:19
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 11:19
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 11:19
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -9.47%E -5.92%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -9.81%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 11:19
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -7.68%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.34%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 10:49
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -7.68%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.34%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 10:49
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 56.38%EV -4.38%E -2.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.99%EV -7.88%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.63%EV -2.64%E -0.627%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 06:29
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.97%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.72%EV -8.49%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.31%EV -7.26%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 11:29
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.87%E -0.683%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 11:30
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.87%E -0.683%K -0.897%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 10:50
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:29
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 05:28
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -8.90%E -5.53%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 11:18
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -7.77%E -4.77%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 05:29
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -7.77%E -4.77%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -13.28%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 11:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -15.13%E -10.08%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -19.06%E -5.45%K -7.62%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-23 11:06
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 56.24%EV -7.77%E -4.77%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 11:29
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.24%EV -7.77%E -4.77%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 10:59
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -8.90%E -5.53%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.28%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 05:28
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -8.90%E -5.53%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.28%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 05:29
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -12.14%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 11:28
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -12.14%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 11:09
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -12.14%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 11:09
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -12.75%E -2.96%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 10:49
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.58%EV -12.30%E -7.93%K -22.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -13.76%E -3.24%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.78%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 11:08
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -11.17%E -7.11%K -19.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -14.78%E -3.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 10:59
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.85%EV -10.60%E -6.71%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.52%EV -16.81%E -4.10%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -9.81%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-23 10:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.13%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.12%0.6%2026-05-23 11:30
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.13%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.12%0.6%2026-05-23 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.92%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-05-23 11:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.92%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-05-23 11:19
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%2.2%2026-05-23 11:30