La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Beijing FC v Henan FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Beijing FC (Local)
Predicción 56.58%1.77momio equitativo
EV -4.38%
Ventaja -2.59%
Kelly -6.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.46%56.77%56.59%60.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.631.651.6966.67%61.31%60.61%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Henan FC (Visitante)
Predicción 20.29%4.93momio equitativo
EV +9.57%
Ventaja +1.77%
Kelly +2.18%
Crecimiento +0.208%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.20%20.12%20.27%21.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.584.605.4024.39%21.84%21.74%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.13%4.32momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -0.627%
Kelly -0.822%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.11%23.11%23.14%24.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.933.904.2128.57%25.42%25.64%23.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.69%EV -13.43%E -8.78%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV +9.57%E +1.77%K +2.18%G +0.208% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -2.87%E -0.683%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 11:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -11.17%E -7.11%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV +1.46%E +0.291%K +0.364%G +0.005% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 11:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -13.43%E -8.78%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV +1.46%E +0.291%K +0.364%G +0.005% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-23 11:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.29%EV +1.05%E +0.211%K +0.264%G +0.003% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.20%EV -4.26%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-23 11:30 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.22%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.47%EV -1.59%E -0.327%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.31%EV -6.34%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 11:27 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -2.60%E -0.542%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-23 11:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -2.60%E -0.542%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-23 11:19 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -2.60%E -0.542%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-23 11:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.27%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -2.60%E -0.542%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -9.47%E -5.92%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -2.60%E -0.542%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.81%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 11:18 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.54%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.30%EV -7.96%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 11:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 05:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 05:28 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 05:29 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 05:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 05:28 |
| betPARX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 05:28 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 05:29 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 11:19 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 11:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 11:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 11:19 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -9.47%E -5.92%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -9.81%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-23 11:19 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -7.68%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.34%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 10:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -7.68%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.34%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 10:49 |
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.38%EV -4.38%E -2.59%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.99%EV -7.88%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.63%EV -2.64%E -0.627%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 06:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.97%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.72%EV -8.49%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.31%EV -7.26%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 11:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.87%E -0.683%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 11:30 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.87%E -0.683%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-23 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 11:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-23 05:28 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -8.90%E -5.53%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 11:18 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -7.77%E -4.77%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-23 05:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -7.77%E -4.77%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -13.28%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 11:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -15.13%E -10.08%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -19.06%E -5.45%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-05-23 11:06 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.24%EV -7.77%E -4.77%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 11:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.24%EV -7.77%E -4.77%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 10:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -8.90%E -5.53%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.28%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-23 05:28 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -8.90%E -5.53%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.28%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-23 05:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -12.14%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 11:28 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -12.14%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-23 11:09 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -12.14%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-23 11:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -12.75%E -2.96%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 10:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.58%EV -12.30%E -7.93%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -13.76%E -3.24%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.78%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-23 11:08 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -11.17%E -7.11%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -14.78%E -3.52%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-23 10:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.85%EV -10.60%E -6.71%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.52%EV -16.81%E -4.10%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -9.81%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-23 10:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.13% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.12% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.13% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.12% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.92% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-05-23 11:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.92% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-05-23 11:19 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50% | 2.2% | 2026-05-23 11:30 |