L’École des cotes

Beijing FC v Henan FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 11:35 UTC

Score final : Beijing FC 1–2 Henan FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Beijing FC (Local)

Prévision 56.58%1.77cote équitable
EV -4.38%
Avantage -2.59%
Kelly -6.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.46%56.77%56.59%60.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.631.651.6966.67%61.31%60.61%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Henan FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.29%4.93cote équitable
EV +9.57%
Avantage +1.77%
Kelly +2.18%
Croissance +0.208%

avec la cote maximale 5.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.20%20.12%20.27%21.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.584.605.4024.39%21.84%21.74%18.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.13%4.32cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -0.627%
Kelly -0.822%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.11%23.11%23.14%24.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.933.904.2128.57%25.42%25.64%23.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 60.69%EV -13.43%E -8.78%K -25.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV +9.57%E +1.77%K +2.18%G +0.208%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -2.87%E -0.683%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 11:09
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -11.17%E -7.11%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV +1.46%E +0.291%K +0.364%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 11:09
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -13.43%E -8.78%K -25.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV +1.46%E +0.291%K +0.364%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 11:09
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.29%EV +1.05%E +0.211%K +0.264%G +0.003%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.20%EV -4.26%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 11:30
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.22%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.47%EV -1.59%E -0.327%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.31%EV -6.34%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 11:27
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -2.60%E -0.542%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 11:19
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -2.60%E -0.542%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 11:19
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -2.60%E -0.542%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 11:19
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.27%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -2.60%E -0.542%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 11:19
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -9.47%E -5.92%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -2.60%E -0.542%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.81%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 11:18
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 10:50
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.54%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.30%EV -7.96%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:29
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 05:29
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 05:28
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 05:29
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 05:29
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 05:28
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 05:28
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 05:29
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 11:19
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 11:19
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 11:19
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 11:19
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -9.47%E -5.92%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -9.81%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 11:19
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -7.68%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.34%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 10:49
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -7.68%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.34%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 10:49
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 56.38%EV -4.38%E -2.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.99%EV -7.88%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.63%EV -2.64%E -0.627%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 06:29
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.97%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.72%EV -8.49%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.31%EV -7.26%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 11:29
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.87%E -0.683%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 11:30
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.87%E -0.683%K -0.897%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 10:50
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:29
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 05:28
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -8.90%E -5.53%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 11:18
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -7.77%E -4.77%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 05:29
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -7.77%E -4.77%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -13.28%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 11:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -15.13%E -10.08%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -19.06%E -5.45%K -7.62%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-23 11:06
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 56.24%EV -7.77%E -4.77%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 11:29
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.24%EV -7.77%E -4.77%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 10:59
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -8.90%E -5.53%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.28%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 05:28
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -8.90%E -5.53%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.28%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 05:29
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -12.14%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 11:28
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -12.14%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 11:09
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -12.14%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 11:09
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -12.75%E -2.96%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 10:49
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.58%EV -12.30%E -7.93%K -22.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -13.76%E -3.24%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.78%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 11:08
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -11.17%E -7.11%K -19.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -14.78%E -3.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 10:59
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.85%EV -10.60%E -6.71%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.52%EV -16.81%E -4.10%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -9.81%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-23 10:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.13%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.12%0.6%2026-05-23 11:30
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.13%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.12%0.6%2026-05-23 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.92%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-05-23 11:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.92%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-05-23 11:19
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%2.2%2026-05-23 11:30