L’École des cotes

Universidad de Concepción v Cobresal

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-13 00:00 UTC

Score final : Universidad de Concepción 1–0 Cobresal

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Universidad de Concepción (Local)

Prévision 57.49%1.74cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -0.994%
Kelly -2.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.59%57.39%57.46%59.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.611.601.7165.79%62.16%62.50%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cobresal (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.56%5.39cote équitable
EV +1.71%
Avantage +0.312%
Kelly +0.382%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 5.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.24%18.55%18.65%19.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.874.805.4823.09%20.55%20.83%18.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.95%4.17cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.556%
Kelly -0.736%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.83%24.05%23.89%25.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.763.754.0830.77%26.62%26.67%24.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.93%EV -6.30%E -3.86%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.53%EV +1.71%E +0.312%K +0.382%G +0.007%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.54%EV -2.27%E -0.556%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 23:54
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 58.04%EV -7.45%E -4.63%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.24%EV +0.597%E +0.110%K +0.135%G +0.001%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -9.45%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 23:55
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50%EV -5.72%E -3.49%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.93%EV -0.702%E -0.131%K -0.161%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.57%EV -2.51%E -0.616%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 23:55
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -8.02%E -5.01%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.56%E -0.487%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.18%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 23:53
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.46%EV -8.60%E -5.41%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -2.56%E -0.487%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 23:54
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.61%EV -9.17%E -5.81%K -15.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -2.56%E -0.487%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 23:55
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.49%E -0.670%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 23:39
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -3.49%E -0.670%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -7.78%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 23:55
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.45%EV -12.62%E -8.30%K -24.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.38%EV -3.49%E -0.670%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.17%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 23:39
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -1.70%E -0.994%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.57%EV -4.41%E -0.857%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 19:00
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.20%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -4.18%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 23:35
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.20%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 23:45
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -7.20%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 23:55
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -8.02%E -5.01%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -7.20%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 23:39
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.20%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 23:35
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -7.20%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -11.37%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 23:40
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -8.13%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -5.38%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 23:34
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -8.13%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -5.38%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 23:34
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.91%EV -6.30%E -3.86%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -9.05%E -1.85%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.16%EV -8.02%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 23:40
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -8.02%E -5.01%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.05%E -1.85%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -7.78%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 23:53
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -10.32%E -6.62%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.05%E -1.85%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.18%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 23:55
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.35%EV -9.17%E -5.81%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -9.05%E -1.85%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 23:55
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -10.91%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 23:55
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -10.91%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 23:55
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -10.91%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 23:55
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.45%E -4.63%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.84%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 23:49
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -8.02%E -5.01%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.84%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -11.37%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 23:34
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.84%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 23:39
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 56.44%EV -7.45%E -4.63%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -12.77%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 23:34
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 56.44%EV -7.45%E -4.63%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -12.77%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 23:35
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.02%EV -12.62%E -8.30%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.77%EV -12.77%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-12 23:54
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 15:29
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 15:29
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 15:29
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 15:29
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -4.57%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -14.96%E -4.22%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -11.37%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 23:55
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -11.37%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 23:55
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -11.37%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 23:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -11.37%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 23:55
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.75%EV -5.72%E -3.49%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -16.48%E -3.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -14.96%E -4.22%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 15:29
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -16.48%E -3.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-12 23:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 54.82%EV -12.05%E -7.87%K -22.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.37%EV -19.63%E -4.53%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -22.15%E -6.82%K -9.84%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-12 23:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.70%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-04-12 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.70%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-04-12 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.70%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-04-12 23:50
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55%1.8%2026-04-12 23:45
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%2.4%2026-04-12 23:55