La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Universidad de Concepción v Cobresal
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Universidad de Concepción (Local)
Predicción 57.49%1.74momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -0.994%
Kelly -2.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.59%57.39%57.46%59.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.611.601.7165.79%62.16%62.50%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cobresal (Visitante)
Predicción 18.56%5.39momio equitativo
EV +1.71%
Ventaja +0.312%
Kelly +0.382%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.24%18.55%18.65%19.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.334.874.805.4823.09%20.55%20.83%18.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.95%4.17momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.556%
Kelly -0.736%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.83%24.05%23.89%25.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.763.754.0830.77%26.62%26.67%24.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.93%EV -6.30%E -3.86%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.53%EV +1.71%E +0.312%K +0.382%G +0.007% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.54%EV -2.27%E -0.556%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 23:54 |
| GTbets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.04%EV -7.45%E -4.63%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.24%EV +0.597%E +0.110%K +0.135%G +0.001% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -9.45%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 23:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50%EV -5.72%E -3.49%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.93%EV -0.702%E -0.131%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.57%EV -2.51%E -0.616%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 23:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -8.02%E -5.01%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.56%E -0.487%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.18%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 23:53 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.46%EV -8.60%E -5.41%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -2.56%E -0.487%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 23:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.61%EV -9.17%E -5.81%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -2.56%E -0.487%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 23:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.49%E -0.670%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 23:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -3.49%E -0.670%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -7.78%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 23:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.45%EV -12.62%E -8.30%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.38%EV -3.49%E -0.670%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.17%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 23:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -1.70%E -0.994%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.57%EV -4.41%E -0.857%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.20%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -4.18%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 23:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.20%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 23:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -7.20%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 23:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -8.02%E -5.01%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -7.20%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 23:39 |
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.20%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 23:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -7.20%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -11.37%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 23:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -8.13%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -5.38%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 23:34 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -8.13%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -5.38%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 23:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.91%EV -6.30%E -3.86%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -9.05%E -1.85%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.16%EV -8.02%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 23:40 |
| Bovada | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -8.02%E -5.01%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.05%E -1.85%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -7.78%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 23:53 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -10.32%E -6.62%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.05%E -1.85%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.18%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 23:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.35%EV -9.17%E -5.81%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -9.05%E -1.85%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 23:55 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -10.91%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 23:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -10.91%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 23:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -10.91%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 23:55 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.45%E -4.63%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.84%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 23:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -8.02%E -5.01%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.84%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -11.37%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 23:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.84%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 23:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.44%EV -7.45%E -4.63%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -12.77%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 23:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.44%EV -7.45%E -4.63%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -12.77%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.02%EV -12.62%E -8.30%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.77%EV -12.77%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-12 23:54 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 15:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 15:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 15:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 15:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -3.42%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -13.77%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -4.57%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -14.96%E -4.22%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -11.37%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 23:55 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -11.37%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 23:55 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -11.37%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 23:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -11.37%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.75%EV -5.72%E -3.49%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -16.48%E -3.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -14.96%E -4.22%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 15:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -16.48%E -3.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 23:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 54.82%EV -12.05%E -7.87%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.37%EV -19.63%E -4.53%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -22.15%E -6.82%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-04-12 23:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.70% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.70% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.70% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 23:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55% | 1.8% | 2026-04-12 23:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 23:55 |