The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Universidad de Concepción v Audax Italiano

Kickoff: 2026-08-01 00:00 UTC

Final: Universidad de Concepción 0–1 Audax Italiano

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad de Concepción (Local)

Prediction 36.41%2.75fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.631%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.95%36.41%36.47%38.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.562.552.7042.55%39.11%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Audax Italiano (Visit)

Prediction 35.23%2.84fair odd
EV +0.397%
Edge +0.139%
Kelly +0.214%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%35.21%35.20%37.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.572.552.8541.15%38.84%39.22%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.37%3.53fair odd
EV -0.149%
Edge -0.042%
Kelly -0.059%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.27%28.38%28.33%29.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.233.203.5232.26%30.92%31.25%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad de Concepción (Local): 36.41%; Audax Italiano (Visit): 35.23%; Draw: 28.37%. For Audax Italiano (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.397%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.03%EV -5.34%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.79%EV +0.397%E +0.139%K +0.214%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.52%EV -7.53%E -2.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -2.07%E -0.744%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.20%EV -4.12%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.52%EV -7.53%E -2.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -2.07%E -0.744%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.20%EV -4.12%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 17:09
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.36%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.04%EV -3.13%E -1.14%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.59%EV -4.40%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 23:45
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -5.34%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -4.89%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:34
GTbets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.99%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.89%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.07%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 22:20
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.89%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-31 21:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -14.45%E -6.15%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -4.89%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-31 23:34
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -6.07%E -2.35%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.59%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 23:20
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -6.07%E -2.35%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.59%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 23:20
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.36%EV -3.89%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.36%EV -7.00%E -2.65%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -0.149%E -0.042%K -0.059%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.08%EV -6.44%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.12%EV -7.00%E -2.65%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -8.66%E -2.69%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 23:54
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -4.62%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.71%E -2.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 23:55
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -4.62%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.71%E -2.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 23:55
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -5.34%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-31 23:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 23:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-31 23:34
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-31 23:44
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-31 23:40
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.80%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 23:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.34%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -10.17%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 23:54
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.34%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -10.17%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 23:53
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.17%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-31 23:53
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.80%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.17%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-31 23:34
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.80%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.17%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-31 23:39
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-31 23:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 23:54
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-31 23:54
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-31 23:54
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-31 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-31 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-31 23:49
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-31 23:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.62%E -5.26%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-31 23:35
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -13.35%E -5.61%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-30 21:10
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -1.70%E -0.631%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -12.64%E -5.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 23:50
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -1.70%E -0.631%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -12.64%E -5.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 23:50
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -1.70%E -0.631%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -12.64%E -5.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -1.70%E -0.631%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -12.64%E -5.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 23:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -1.70%E -0.631%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -12.64%E -5.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 23:49
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -1.70%E -0.631%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -12.64%E -5.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -13.69%E -5.59%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-31 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -13.69%E -5.59%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-31 23:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -13.69%E -5.59%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-31 23:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -14.40%E -5.93%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-31 23:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-07-31 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-07-31 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-07-31 23:45
Matchbook◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.90%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.38%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-07-31 23:55
Smarkets◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.56%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.56%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-07-31 23:55
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-07-31 23:40

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