The School of Odds

Universidad de Concepción v Audax Italiano

2026-08-01 00:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Universidad de Concepción (Local)

Prediction 35.82%2.79fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -2.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.92%35.79%35.78%36.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.302.532.502.6843.48%39.55%40.00%37.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Audax Italiano (Visit)

Prediction 36.03%2.78fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%36.05%36.08%36.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.352.532.502.7042.55%39.52%40.00%37.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.14%3.55fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -0.841%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.17%28.17%28.14%28.80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.233.253.4532.26%30.94%30.77%28.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -3.99%E -1.49%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -7.04%E -2.73%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 01:55
Coolbet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20%EV -5.79%E -2.20%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20%EV -5.23%E -1.99%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -2.90%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 01:20
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.04%EV -5.79%E -2.20%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.17%EV -5.60%E -2.14%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.79%EV -4.03%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 01:30
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 00:05
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 01:55
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 01:55
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.12%E -3.18%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 23:20
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 01:25
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -7.58%E -2.94%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.60%E -2.14%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.72%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 02:15
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -7.58%E -2.94%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -7.04%E -2.73%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-27 02:05
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -7.58%E -2.94%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -7.04%E -2.73%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-27 02:10
GTbets2.55I 39.22%NM 36.99%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.71%E -1.00%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.07%EV -5.43%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 22:20
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-27 01:35
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -5.72%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 23:20
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 23:20
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 23:20
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 23:19
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 01:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.75%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 01:20
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.75%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 01:20
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.75%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 01:20
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.75%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.75%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.75%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 00:05
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.75%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 00:05
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -13.52%E -5.63%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.75%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-27 01:25
Codere (IT)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.16%E -4.50%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -8.12%E -3.18%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.94%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 01:35
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -14.03%E -5.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -11.72%E -4.78%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-27 01:35
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -14.03%E -5.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -13.52%E -5.63%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -12.75%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-26 23:20
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.76%EV -17.61%E -7.66%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.97%EV -15.32%E -6.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.27%EV -12.75%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-27 01:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 36.01%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%16.7%2026-07-27 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 22:25