L’École des cotes

Universidad de Concepción v Audax Italiano

2026-08-01 00:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Résultat du match

30 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Universidad de Concepción (Local)

Prévision 35.68%2.80cote équitable
EV -3.68%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.90%35.68%35.58%36.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.542.502.7043.48%39.43%40.00%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Audax Italiano (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.16%2.77cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -0.874%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.92%36.15%36.21%37.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.532.502.7042.55%39.60%40.00%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.16%3.55cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -0.824%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.17%28.17%28.21%28.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.233.253.4532.26%30.98%30.77%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.14%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.66%EV -3.41%E -0.993%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 03:00
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 34.90%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.54%EV -8.15%E -3.21%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 03:15
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 34.90%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.54%EV -8.15%E -3.21%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 03:15
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -5.46%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.78%EV -8.87%E -3.52%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -7.63%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 03:05
1xBet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -5.46%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.78%EV -8.87%E -3.52%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -7.63%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 03:10
Coolbet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20%EV -6.17%E -2.35%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20%EV -4.89%E -1.86%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -2.84%E -0.824%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 01:20
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 00:05
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 23:20
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 01:25
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -7.96%E -3.08%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -3.08%E -1.15%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 03:00
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -7.96%E -3.08%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -3.08%E -1.15%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 03:30
GTbets2.55I 39.22%NM 36.99%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.36%E -0.874%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.07%EV -5.38%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 22:20
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-27 01:35
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 23:20
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 23:20
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 23:20
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 23:19
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 01:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 01:20
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 01:20
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 01:20
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 00:05
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 00:05
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -13.21%E -5.50%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-27 01:25
Codere (IT)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.53%E -4.65%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 01:35
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -14.38%E -5.99%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -11.40%E -4.65%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-27 01:35
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -14.38%E -5.99%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -13.21%E -5.50%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-26 23:20
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.76%EV -17.95%E -7.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.97%EV -15.02%E -6.39%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.27%EV -12.70%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-27 01:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 36.01%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%16.7%2026-07-27 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 22:25