Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Universidad de Concepción v Audax Italiano

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-01 00:00 UTC

Score final : Universidad de Concepción 0–1 Audax Italiano

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Universidad de Concepción (Local)

Prévision 36.41%2.75cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -0.631%
Kelly -1.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.95%36.41%36.47%38.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.562.552.7042.55%39.11%39.22%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Audax Italiano (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.23%2.84cote équitable
EV +0.397%
Avantage +0.139%
Kelly +0.214%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.41%35.21%35.20%37.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.432.572.552.8541.15%38.84%39.22%35.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.37%3.53cote équitable
EV -0.149%
Avantage -0.042%
Kelly -0.059%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.27%28.38%28.33%29.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.233.203.5232.26%30.92%31.25%28.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Universidad de Concepción (Local) : 36.41% ; Audax Italiano (Visiteur) : 35.23% ; Match nul : 28.37%. Pour Audax Italiano (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.84. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.85, soit une espérance positive de +0.397%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.03%EV -5.34%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.79%EV +0.397%E +0.139%K +0.214%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.52%EV -7.53%E -2.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -2.07%E -0.744%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.20%EV -4.12%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.52%EV -7.53%E -2.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -2.07%E -0.744%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.20%EV -4.12%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 17:09
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.36%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.04%EV -3.13%E -1.14%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.59%EV -4.40%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 23:45
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -5.34%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -4.89%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:34
GTbets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.99%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.89%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.07%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 22:20
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.89%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-31 21:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -14.45%E -6.15%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -4.89%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-31 23:34
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -6.07%E -2.35%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.59%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 23:20
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -6.07%E -2.35%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.59%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 23:20
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.36%EV -3.89%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.36%EV -7.00%E -2.65%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -0.149%E -0.042%K -0.059%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.08%EV -6.44%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.12%EV -7.00%E -2.65%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -8.66%E -2.69%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 23:54
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -4.62%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.71%E -2.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 23:55
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -4.62%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.71%E -2.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 23:55
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -5.34%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-31 23:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 23:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-31 23:34
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-31 23:44
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-31 23:40
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.80%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 23:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.34%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -10.17%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 23:54
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.34%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -10.17%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 23:53
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.17%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-31 23:53
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.80%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.17%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-31 23:34
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.80%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.17%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-31 23:39
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-31 23:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 23:54
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-31 23:54
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-31 23:54
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-31 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-31 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-31 23:49
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-31 23:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.62%E -5.26%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-31 23:35
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -13.35%E -5.61%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-30 21:10
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -1.70%E -0.631%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -12.64%E -5.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 23:50
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -1.70%E -0.631%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -12.64%E -5.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 23:50
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -1.70%E -0.631%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -12.64%E -5.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -1.70%E -0.631%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -12.64%E -5.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 23:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -1.70%E -0.631%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -12.64%E -5.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 23:49
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -1.70%E -0.631%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -12.64%E -5.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -13.69%E -5.59%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-31 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -13.69%E -5.59%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-31 23:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -13.69%E -5.59%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-31 23:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -14.40%E -5.93%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-31 23:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-07-31 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-07-31 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-07-31 23:45
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.90%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.38%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-07-31 23:55
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.56%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.56%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-07-31 23:55
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-07-31 23:40