Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.35
assuming max odds 3.18
assuming max odds 3.38
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad de Chile (Local): 40.83%; Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit): 30.16%; Draw: 29.01%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.38, with an expected value of -1.93%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.87%E -2.09%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.28%E -2.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.02%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.28%E -2.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.02%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -17.31%E -6.07%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-21 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -6.91%E -3.03%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.26%EV -6.91%E -3.03%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.26%EV -6.91%E -3.03%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 22:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.91%E -3.03%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.98%EV -7.73%E -3.42%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -7.12%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 14:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.14%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.81%EV -4.10%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.05%EV -1.93%E -0.571%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 02:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 12:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.02%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 16:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.02%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 00:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 10:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 16:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -15.86%E -5.47%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-21 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -15.86%E -5.47%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-21 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -15.86%E -5.47%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-21 11:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -8.95%E -4.01%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -8.95%E -4.01%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -8.95%E -4.01%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -8.95%E -4.01%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -8.95%E -4.01%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-20 11:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -8.95%E -4.01%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 02:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 11:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.15%E -4.57%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.15%E -4.57%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.45%E -4.69%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.45%E -4.69%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 15:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-21 11:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -10.99%E -5.04%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -8.02%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-20 11:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -10.99%E -5.04%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -12.22%E -5.68%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-22 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -14.26%E -6.79%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.00%EV -14.26%E -6.79%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -15.56%E -5.56%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -18.76%E -6.70%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-04-23 22:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.44%EV -16.30%E -7.95%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.49%EV -11.04%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.36%EV -16.30%E -7.95%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.83%EV -17.07%E -6.21%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.80%EV -11.51%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.51% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.51% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.51% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.90% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.81% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.81% | 12.6% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |