La escuela de los momios

Universidad de Chile v Universidad Católica (CHI)

Inicio: 2026-04-25 22:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Universidad de Chile (Local)

Predicción 40.83%2.45momio equitativo
EV -4.05%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -3.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.23%40.73%40.87%42.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.232.232.3548.78%44.93%44.84%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visitante)

Predicción 30.16%3.32momio equitativo
EV -4.10%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -1.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.11%30.12%30.13%31.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.023.003.1836.36%33.13%33.33%31.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.01%3.45momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -0.571%
Kelly -0.811%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.57%29.15%29.00%31.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.153.203.3835.71%31.75%31.25%29.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -4.05%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 19:20
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.87%E -2.09%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 14:19
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.28%E -2.27%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.02%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 11:50
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.28%E -2.27%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.02%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 16:35
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -6.09%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -17.31%E -6.07%K -9.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-21 11:50
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -6.91%E -3.03%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 14:25
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 40.26%EV -6.91%E -3.03%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 22:35
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 40.26%EV -6.91%E -3.03%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 22:34
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.91%E -3.03%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 22:10
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 40.98%EV -7.73%E -3.42%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -7.12%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 14:19
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 42.14%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.81%EV -4.10%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.05%EV -1.93%E -0.571%K -0.811%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 02:35
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 02:45
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 12:00
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 22:00
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 08:39
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.02%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 16:14
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.02%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 00:10
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 10:03
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 16:10
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -15.86%E -5.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-21 11:50
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -15.86%E -5.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-21 11:50
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -15.86%E -5.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-21 11:49
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -8.95%E -4.01%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 11:40
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -8.95%E -4.01%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 11:40
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -8.95%E -4.01%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 11:40
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -8.95%E -4.01%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -8.95%E -4.01%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 11:39
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -8.95%E -4.01%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 11:40
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 02:45
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 02:44
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 11:39
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 02:45
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.15%E -4.57%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.15%E -4.57%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.45%E -4.69%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 15:49
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.45%E -4.69%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 15:48
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-21 11:49
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-24 03:04
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -10.99%E -5.04%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -8.02%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 11:39
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -10.99%E -5.04%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -12.22%E -5.68%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-22 22:00
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -14.26%E -6.79%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-21 02:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.00%EV -14.26%E -6.79%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -15.56%E -5.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -18.76%E -6.70%K -10.42%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-23 22:04
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.44%EV -16.30%E -7.95%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.49%EV -11.04%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-23 22:05
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.36%EV -16.30%E -7.95%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.83%EV -17.07%E -6.21%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.80%EV -11.51%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-21 02:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%4.1%2026-04-24 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%4.1%2026-04-24 02:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%4.1%2026-04-24 02:50
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 42.90%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%5.0%2026-04-24 01:40
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.81%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.81%12.6%2026-04-24 03:00