Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad Católica (CHI) v Cobresal

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 00:30 UTC

Final: Universidad Católica (CHI) 2–0 Cobresal

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)

Prediction 70.90%1.41fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -5.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.66%70.88%70.99%72.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.301.301.3880.00%76.89%76.92%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cobresal (Visit)

Prediction 11.37%8.80fair odd
EV +5.72%
Edge +0.615%
Kelly +0.689%
Growth +0.039%

assuming max odds 9.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.08%11.41%11.29%13.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.758.078.009.3014.81%12.40%12.50%10.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.73%5.64fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -0.454%
Kelly -0.555%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.43%17.71%17.72%18.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.165.225.5020.83%19.39%19.14%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local): 70.90%; Cobresal (Visit): 11.37%; Draw: 17.73%. For Cobresal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.80. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -6.41%E -4.85%K -20.02%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.08%EV +5.72%E +0.615%K +0.689%G +0.039%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -12.25%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 00:25
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -6.41%E -4.85%K -20.02%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.08%EV +5.72%E +0.615%K +0.689%G +0.039%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -12.25%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 00:25
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -8.53%E -6.61%K -29.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +2.31%E +0.256%K +0.288%G +0.007%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -2.50%E -0.454%K -0.555%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 00:20
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +2.31%E +0.256%K +0.288%G +0.007%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 20:34
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +2.31%E +0.256%K +0.288%G +0.007%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 20:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -8.53%E -6.61%K -29.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV +2.31%E +0.256%K +0.288%G +0.007%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 19:00
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.59%EV -4.99%E -3.72%K -14.67%G +0.000%8.85I 11.30%NM 10.84%EV +0.601%E +0.068%K +0.077%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.57%EV -3.21%E -0.587%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 00:10
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.26%EV -4.28%E -3.17%K -12.23%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%EV +0.033%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -4.27%E -0.791%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 23:25
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -9.95%E -7.84%K -36.86%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.48%EV -0.536%E -0.061%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -6.04%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 23:45
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -6.41%E -4.85%K -20.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.50%E -0.454%K -0.555%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 23:50
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 23:50
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 23:50
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.28%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -7.81%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -8.53%E -6.61%K -29.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -7.81%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.60%EV -9.24%E -7.22%K -33.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -7.81%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.60%EV -9.24%E -7.22%K -33.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -7.81%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 23:50
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -11.37%E -9.10%K -45.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -11.36%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-07 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -11.37%E -9.10%K -45.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -11.36%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-07 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.60%EV -9.24%E -7.22%K -33.01%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.95%EV -6.22%E -0.754%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -13.13%E -2.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 21:40
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -4.99%E -3.72%K -14.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -9.06%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -5.70%E -4.28%K -17.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.06%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 21:55
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -5.70%E -4.28%K -17.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.06%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 21:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -11.37%E -9.10%K -45.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -9.06%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -2.50%E -0.454%K -0.555%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 23:55
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.37%E -9.10%K -45.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -9.06%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -11.36%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-07 23:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.51%EV -6.41%E -4.85%K -20.02%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.93%EV -11.33%E -1.45%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -6.04%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.51%EV -6.41%E -4.85%K -20.02%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.93%EV -11.33%E -1.45%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -6.04%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 22:45
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.51%EV -6.41%E -4.85%K -20.02%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.93%EV -11.33%E -1.45%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -6.04%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 22:45
BetAnything🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.51%EV -6.41%E -4.85%K -20.02%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.93%EV -11.33%E -1.45%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -6.04%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 22:45
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.73%EV -2.15%E -1.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.79I 12.84%NM 12.35%EV -11.45%E -1.47%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.92%EV -4.80%E -0.894%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 00:25
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.55%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%7.76I 12.89%NM 11.82%EV -11.79%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -7.81%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 21:40
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.68%EV -11.90%E -1.54%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -14.02%E -2.89%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 23:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.21%EV -7.11%E -5.43%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.10%EV -13.61%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -7.81%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 22:30
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -5.70%E -4.28%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -14.74%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 21:45
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.11%E -5.43%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -14.74%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -11.36%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 00:23
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.74%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.91%E -3.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.74%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.91%E -3.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.74%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.91%E -3.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 18:50
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.37%E -9.10%K -45.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -14.74%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -11.36%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.54%EV -9.95%E -7.84%K -36.86%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.44%EV -19.29%E -2.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.02%EV -13.13%E -2.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -20.43%E -2.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -4.27%E -0.791%K -0.970%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-07 22:30
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -8.53%E -6.61%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -20.43%E -2.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -11.36%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 00:20
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -8.53%E -6.61%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -20.43%E -2.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -11.36%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-05 15:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -20.43%E -2.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -14.91%E -3.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-07 21:35
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -20.43%E -2.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -14.91%E -3.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-07 21:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.48%EV -8.53%E -6.61%K -29.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.28%EV -23.27%E -3.45%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.24%EV -7.81%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 22:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 73.82%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76%1.1%2026-08-08 00:25
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.47%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.84%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%1.6%2026-08-08 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.47%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.84%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%1.6%2026-08-08 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.47%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.84%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%1.6%2026-08-08 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.47%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.84%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%1.6%2026-08-08 00:20
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 73.57%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.79%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.64%2.2%2026-08-08 00:25

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