The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Universidad Católica (CHI) v Cobresal

2026-08-08 00:30 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)

Prediction 71.34%1.40fair odd
EV -5.83%
Edge -4.41%
Kelly -18.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.62%71.47%71.30%73.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.281.291.3282.64%77.94%77.52%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cobresal (Visit)

Prediction 11.27%8.87fair odd
EV +4.28%
Edge +0.463%
Kelly +0.519%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 9.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.17%11.14%11.34%13.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.098.009.2515.38%12.36%12.50%10.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.38%5.75fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -0.474%
Kelly -0.577%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.94%17.39%17.36%18.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.215.305.6021.74%19.21%18.87%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local): 71.34%; Cobresal (Visit): 11.27%; Draw: 17.38%. For Cobresal (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.87. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.25, producing a positive expected value of +4.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -5.83%E -4.41%K -18.21%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.29%EV +4.28%E +0.463%K +0.519%G +0.022%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%EV -6.13%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 20:05
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -10.82%E -8.66%K -43.29%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV +1.46%E +0.162%K +0.183%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -4.39%E -0.798%K -0.976%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 19:20
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.91I 11.22%NM 10.56%EV +0.447%E +0.050%K +0.056%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -4.39%E -0.798%K -0.976%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 20:15
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -8.68%E -6.78%K -31.00%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.74%EV -3.05%E -0.354%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -6.13%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 20:15
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.95%EV -7.97%E -6.18%K -27.47%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 10.86%EV -3.61%E -0.422%K -0.478%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -6.13%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 20:20
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 71.31%EV -5.83%E -4.41%K -18.21%G +0.000%8.31I 12.03%NM 11.33%EV -6.32%E -0.760%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.37%EV -5.78%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 18:05
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.76%EV -6.54%E -4.99%K -21.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -9.81%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -8.74%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 17:50
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 70.76%EV -6.54%E -4.99%K -21.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -9.81%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -8.74%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 17:09
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -7.97%E -6.18%K -27.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -9.81%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -7.87%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 17:49
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -7.97%E -6.18%K -27.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -9.81%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -7.87%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 17:48
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -7.97%E -6.18%K -27.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -9.81%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.08%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 17:50
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -9.81%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -16.56%E -3.45%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 20:20
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -9.81%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -16.56%E -3.45%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 20:20
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -9.81%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -16.56%E -3.45%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 20:20
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 71.67%EV -10.11%E -8.02%K -38.88%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -9.81%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -7.87%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 20:15
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.02%EV -13.68%E -11.30%K -65.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.89%EV -9.81%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.09%EV -11.34%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-02 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 72.55%EV -12.25%E -9.96%K -53.25%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.51%EV -12.63%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.94%EV -2.65%E -0.474%K -0.577%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 19:19
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -15.45%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.08%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 17:50
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.02%EV -12.96%E -10.62%K -58.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.71%EV -15.45%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -6.13%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 19:19
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 67.62%EV -7.97%E -6.18%K -27.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.42%EV -26.72%E -4.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.96%EV -20.04%E -4.36%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-02 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 70.86%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.86%16.6%2026-08-02 19:20