Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Universidad Católica (CHI) v Cobresal

Início: 2026-08-08 00:30 UTC

Final: Universidad Católica (CHI) 2–0 Cobresal

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)

Previsão 70.90%1.41odd justa
EV -2.15%
Vantagem -1.56%
Kelly -5.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.66%70.88%70.99%72.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.251.301.301.3880.00%76.89%76.92%72.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cobresal (Visitante)

Previsão 11.37%8.80odd justa
EV +5.72%
Vantagem +0.615%
Kelly +0.689%
Crescimento +0.039%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.08%11.41%11.29%13.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.758.078.009.3014.81%12.40%12.50%10.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 17.73%5.64odd justa
EV -2.50%
Vantagem -0.454%
Kelly -0.555%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.43%17.71%17.72%18.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.805.165.225.5020.83%19.39%19.14%18.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local): 70.90%; Cobresal (Visitante): 11.37%; Empate: 17.73%. Para Cobresal (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.80. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 9.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.72%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -6.41%E -4.85%K -20.02%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.08%EV +5.72%E +0.615%K +0.689%G +0.039%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -12.25%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 00:25
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -6.41%E -4.85%K -20.02%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.08%EV +5.72%E +0.615%K +0.689%G +0.039%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -12.25%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 00:25
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -8.53%E -6.61%K -29.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +2.31%E +0.256%K +0.288%G +0.007%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -2.50%E -0.454%K -0.555%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 00:20
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +2.31%E +0.256%K +0.288%G +0.007%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 20:34
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +2.31%E +0.256%K +0.288%G +0.007%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 20:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -8.53%E -6.61%K -29.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV +2.31%E +0.256%K +0.288%G +0.007%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 19:00
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.59%EV -4.99%E -3.72%K -14.67%G +0.000%8.85I 11.30%NM 10.84%EV +0.601%E +0.068%K +0.077%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.57%EV -3.21%E -0.587%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 00:10
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.26%EV -4.28%E -3.17%K -12.23%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%EV +0.033%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -4.27%E -0.791%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 23:25
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -9.95%E -7.84%K -36.86%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.48%EV -0.536%E -0.061%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -6.04%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 23:45
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -6.41%E -4.85%K -20.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.50%E -0.454%K -0.555%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 23:50
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 23:50
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 23:50
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.28%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -7.81%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -8.53%E -6.61%K -29.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -7.81%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.60%EV -9.24%E -7.22%K -33.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -7.81%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.60%EV -9.24%E -7.22%K -33.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -7.81%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 23:50
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -11.37%E -9.10%K -45.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -11.36%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-07 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -11.37%E -9.10%K -45.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -3.38%E -0.397%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -11.36%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-07 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.60%EV -9.24%E -7.22%K -33.01%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.95%EV -6.22%E -0.754%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -13.13%E -2.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 21:40
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -4.99%E -3.72%K -14.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -9.06%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -5.70%E -4.28%K -17.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.06%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 21:55
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -5.70%E -4.28%K -17.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.06%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 21:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -11.37%E -9.10%K -45.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -9.06%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -2.50%E -0.454%K -0.555%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 23:55
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.37%E -9.10%K -45.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -9.06%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -11.36%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-07 23:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.51%EV -6.41%E -4.85%K -20.02%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.93%EV -11.33%E -1.45%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -6.04%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.51%EV -6.41%E -4.85%K -20.02%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.93%EV -11.33%E -1.45%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -6.04%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 22:45
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.51%EV -6.41%E -4.85%K -20.02%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.93%EV -11.33%E -1.45%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -6.04%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 22:45
BetAnything🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.51%EV -6.41%E -4.85%K -20.02%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.93%EV -11.33%E -1.45%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -6.04%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 22:45
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.73%EV -2.15%E -1.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.79I 12.84%NM 12.35%EV -11.45%E -1.47%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.92%EV -4.80%E -0.894%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 00:25
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.55%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%7.76I 12.89%NM 11.82%EV -11.79%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -7.81%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 21:40
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.68%EV -11.90%E -1.54%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -14.02%E -2.89%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 23:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.21%EV -7.11%E -5.43%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.10%EV -13.61%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -7.81%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 22:30
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -5.70%E -4.28%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -14.74%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.93%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 21:45
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.11%E -5.43%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -14.74%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -11.36%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 00:23
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.74%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.91%E -3.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.74%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.91%E -3.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.74%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.91%E -3.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 18:50
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.37%E -9.10%K -45.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -14.74%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -11.36%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.54%EV -9.95%E -7.84%K -36.86%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.44%EV -19.29%E -2.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.02%EV -13.13%E -2.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -20.43%E -2.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -4.27%E -0.791%K -0.970%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-07 22:30
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -8.53%E -6.61%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -20.43%E -2.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -11.36%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 00:20
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -8.53%E -6.61%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -20.43%E -2.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -11.36%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-05 15:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -20.43%E -2.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -14.91%E -3.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-07 21:35
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -7.82%E -6.02%K -26.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -20.43%E -2.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -14.91%E -3.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-07 21:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.48%EV -8.53%E -6.61%K -29.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.28%EV -23.27%E -3.45%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.24%EV -7.81%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 22:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.82%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76%1.1%2026-08-08 00:25
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.47%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.84%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%1.6%2026-08-08 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.47%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.84%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%1.6%2026-08-08 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.47%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.84%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%1.6%2026-08-08 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.47%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.84%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%1.6%2026-08-08 00:20
Kalshi◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.57%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.79%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.64%2.2%2026-08-08 00:25