Idioma:Español
Union La Calera v Deportes Concepción
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Union La Calera (Local)
Predicción 42.17%2.37momio equitativo
EV -3.85%
Ventaja -1.69%
Kelly -3.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.35%42.33%42.14%45.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.152.2850.00%46.33%46.51%43.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Deportes Concepción (Visitante)
Predicción 28.19%3.55momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -0.798%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.58%28.19%28.15%29.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.193.153.4533.33%31.37%31.75%28.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.64%3.37momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.24%29.49%29.71%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.703.093.103.2637.04%32.38%32.26%30.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Union La Calera (Local): 42.17%; Deportes Concepción (Visitante): 28.19%; Empate: 29.64%. Para Deportes Concepción (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.55. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.45, con un valor esperado de -2.75%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.11%EV -3.85%E -1.69%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.07%EV -3.60%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.82%EV -4.55%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 23:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.58%EV -4.69%E -2.08%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%EV -2.75%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.52%EV -3.37%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-13 23:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -5.12%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.57%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.12%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 23:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.16%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.73%EV -7.52%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-13 23:53 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.09%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.23%EV -7.55%E -2.30%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -7.52%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 23:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-13 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-13 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-13 23:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-13 23:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-13 23:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-13 23:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.07%E -3.70%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.57%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 23:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.07%E -3.70%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.57%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 23:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -8.07%E -3.70%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -14.03%E -4.60%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-13 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.38%EV -8.91%E -4.13%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -15.44%E -5.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-13 23:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -9.59%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-13 23:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-13 23:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -9.75%E -4.56%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.59%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-13 04:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -9.75%E -4.56%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.59%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-13 04:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-13 23:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -13.55%E -6.61%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -14.03%E -4.60%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -9.59%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -15.66%E -7.83%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-13 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.45%EV -15.66%E -7.83%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.97%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-13 23:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.54%EV -15.66%E -7.83%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.69%EV -15.44%E -5.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -19.97%E -7.40%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-04-13 23:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-04-13 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-04-13 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-04-13 23:55 |