Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Union La Calera v Coquimbo Unido

Kickoff: 2026-04-24 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Union La Calera (Local)

Prediction 29.24%3.42fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -0.971%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.25%29.23%29.18%30.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.113.103.3134.72%32.20%32.26%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coquimbo Unido (Visit)

Prediction 41.23%2.43fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.56%41.17%41.25%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.212.3348.78%45.18%45.25%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.53%3.39fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.595%
Kelly -0.852%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.05%29.60%29.56%31.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.633.093.103.3238.02%32.32%32.26%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Union La Calera (Local): 29.24%; Coquimbo Unido (Visit): 41.23%; Draw: 29.53%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.32, with an expected value of -1.98%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 28.61%EV -3.21%E -0.971%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.86%EV -8.87%E -4.01%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.53%EV -1.98%E -0.595%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:40
Pinnacle🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.51%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.12%EV -3.92%E -1.68%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.85%EV -5.22%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 22:20
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.51%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -5.99%E -2.63%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:04
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -3.51%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.04%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:02
1xBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 28.45%EV -4.38%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.82%EV -7.88%E -2.53%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:39
Marathon Bet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -4.68%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.91%EV -8.87%E -4.01%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -7.88%E -2.53%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -4.97%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -4.34%E -1.87%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -4.97%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -4.34%E -1.87%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 01:05
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.43%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -4.34%E -1.87%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:29
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.43%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -4.34%E -1.87%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:29
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.43%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 11:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.43%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -12.90%E -4.37%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-24 02:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.89%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 13:29
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.47%EV -8.77%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.87%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 00:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 10:45
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 22:03
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -2.57%E -0.778%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 22:05
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 07:30
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 07:30
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 07:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 07:30
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 07:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 07:30
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 10:49
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 22:05
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 22:04
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 07:30
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 22:04
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.11%E -4.64%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 13:35
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 22:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 22:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 22:04
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.11%E -4.64%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 07:30
Everygame🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.30%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-24 03:19
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 22:05
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.28%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 11:30
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.28%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 10:45
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.28%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 10:49
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.28%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 13:35
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.28%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 10:49
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.28%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 22:04
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.28%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 22:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.28%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 22:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.28%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 22:05
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.28%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 09:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.57%EV -15.20%E -5.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.84%EV -15.47%E -7.55%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.59%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-23 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -15.79%E -5.48%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -22.35%E -8.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-23 22:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.73%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67%3.5%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.73%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67%3.5%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.73%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67%3.5%2026-04-24 02:10
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%6.2%2026-04-23 22:35
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 29.11%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.01%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.89%10.1%2026-04-24 03:50