L’École des cotes

Union La Calera v Coquimbo Unido

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Union La Calera (Local)

Prévision 29.24%3.42cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -0.971%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.25%29.23%29.18%30.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.113.103.3134.72%32.20%32.26%30.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Coquimbo Unido (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.23%2.43cote équitable
EV -3.92%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -2.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.56%41.17%41.25%42.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.212.212.3348.78%45.18%45.25%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.53%3.39cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -0.595%
Kelly -0.852%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.05%29.60%29.56%31.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.633.093.103.3238.02%32.32%32.26%30.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets3.31I 30.21%NM 28.61%EV -3.21%E -0.971%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.86%EV -8.87%E -4.01%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.53%EV -1.98%E -0.595%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:40
Pinnacle3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.51%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.12%EV -3.92%E -1.68%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.85%EV -5.22%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 22:20
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.51%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -5.99%E -2.63%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:04
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -3.51%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.04%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:02
1xBet3.27I 30.58%NM 28.45%EV -4.38%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.82%EV -7.88%E -2.53%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:39
Marathon Bet3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -4.68%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.91%EV -8.87%E -4.01%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -7.88%E -2.53%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:34
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -4.97%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -4.34%E -1.87%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 01:00
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -4.97%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -4.34%E -1.87%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 01:05
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.43%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -4.34%E -1.87%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:29
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.43%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -4.34%E -1.87%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:29
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.43%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 11:04
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.43%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -12.90%E -4.37%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-24 02:15
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.89%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 13:29
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 29.47%EV -8.77%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.87%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 00:30
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 10:45
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 22:03
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -2.57%E -0.778%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 22:05
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 07:30
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 07:30
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 07:30
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 07:30
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 07:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 07:30
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.52%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 10:49
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 22:05
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 22:04
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 07:30
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 22:04
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.11%E -4.64%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 13:35
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 22:04
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 22:05
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 22:04
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 22:10
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.11%E -4.64%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 07:30
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.30%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-24 03:19
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 22:05
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.28%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 11:30
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.28%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 10:45
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.28%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 10:49
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.28%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 13:35
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.28%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 10:49
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.28%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 22:04
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.28%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 22:04
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.28%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 22:04
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.28%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 22:05
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.28%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 09:34
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.57%EV -15.20%E -5.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.84%EV -15.47%E -7.55%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.59%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-23 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -15.79%E -5.48%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -22.35%E -8.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-23 22:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.73%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67%3.5%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.73%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67%3.5%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.73%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67%3.5%2026-04-24 02:10
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%6.2%2026-04-23 22:35
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 29.11%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.01%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.89%10.1%2026-04-24 03:50