Language:English
Palestino v Huachipato
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Palestino (Local)
Prediction 56.79%1.76fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.41%56.65%56.83%58.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.641.621.7364.52%61.09%61.73%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Huachipato (Visit)
Prediction 19.60%5.10fair odd
EV +7.61%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.70%
Growth +0.129%
assuming max odds 5.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.51%19.60%19.58%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.614.655.4925.00%21.68%21.51%18.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.61%4.24fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -0.782%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.78%23.75%23.59%25.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.823.804.1028.17%26.18%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Palestino (Local): 56.79%; Huachipato (Visit): 19.60%; Draw: 23.61%. For Huachipato (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.10. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.61%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.91%EV -5.73%E -3.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.51%EV +7.61%E +1.39%K +1.70%G +0.129% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.58%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 00:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.46%EV -3.46%E -2.03%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV +2.91%E +0.554%K +0.685%G +0.020% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.38%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.13%EV -1.79%E -0.358%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.49%EV -3.68%E -0.902%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-17 23:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -8.00%E -4.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -1.99%E -0.398%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 00:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.91%EV -3.46%E -2.03%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.20%EV -2.97%E -0.600%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.88%EV -9.82%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 23:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -8.57%E -5.32%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -3.95%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-18 00:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -8.00%E -4.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.12%EV -4.93%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.65%EV -7.46%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 00:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 00:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -8.57%E -5.32%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 00:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -8.57%E -5.32%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 00:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.87%EV -8.00%E -4.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -9.11%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 00:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -11.98%E -7.73%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-17 23:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -9.14%E -5.71%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.01%E -4.17%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-18 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -9.14%E -5.71%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.01%E -4.17%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-18 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -9.14%E -5.71%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.01%E -4.17%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-18 00:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.89%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-17 23:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.89%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 23:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -8.00%E -4.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -6.89%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-17 23:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.84%E -6.90%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -6.89%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-18 00:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -7.87%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.21%E -0.782%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -5.73%E -3.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -7.87%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-17 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -5.73%E -3.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -7.87%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-17 23:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -5.73%E -3.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -7.87%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-17 23:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -8.57%E -5.32%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -7.87%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-17 23:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.07%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -8.85%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -9.11%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 00:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.71%EV -4.59%E -2.73%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.76%EV -8.85%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -15.01%E -4.17%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-18 00:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -9.83%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-17 23:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -7.43%E -4.56%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -9.83%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -13.83%E -3.79%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-18 00:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -9.14%E -5.71%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -9.83%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-18 00:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -11.98%E -7.73%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -9.83%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-18 00:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -10.84%E -6.90%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -9.83%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-18 00:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -11.79%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-17 23:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -9.14%E -5.71%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -11.79%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-17 23:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.00%E -4.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -11.79%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-17 23:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -9.14%E -5.71%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.79%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-17 23:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -8.00%E -4.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -13.75%E -3.13%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 23:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.68%EV -10.27%E -6.50%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -13.75%E -3.13%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-17 23:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -8.00%E -4.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -15.12%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-17 23:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -8.00%E -4.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -15.12%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-17 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -8.57%E -5.32%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -15.12%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-17 23:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -8.57%E -5.32%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -15.12%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-17 23:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.48%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -15.71%E -3.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -12.65%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 00:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.48%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -15.71%E -3.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -12.65%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.48%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -15.71%E -3.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -12.65%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-17 23:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.48%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -15.71%E -3.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -12.65%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.48%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -15.71%E -3.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -12.65%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 00:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.57%EV -4.59%E -2.73%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -17.67%E -4.21%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.01%E -4.17%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-17 23:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.41%EV -5.73%E -3.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -19.63%E -4.79%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -16.19%E -4.56%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-18 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.41%EV -5.73%E -3.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -19.63%E -4.79%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -16.19%E -4.56%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 23:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.38%EV -10.84%E -6.90%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -21.59%E -5.40%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-17 22:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 00:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 00:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.72% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 23:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.48% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97% | 1.7% | 2026-08-18 00:15 |