Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Palestino v Huachipato

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-18 00:31 UTC

Score final : Palestino 5–1 Huachipato

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Palestino (Local)

Prévision 56.79%1.76cote équitable
EV -1.75%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -2.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.41%56.65%56.83%58.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.641.621.7364.52%61.09%61.73%57.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Huachipato (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.60%5.10cote équitable
EV +7.61%
Avantage +1.39%
Kelly +1.70%
Croissance +0.129%

avec la cote maximale 5.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.51%19.60%19.58%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.614.655.4925.00%21.68%21.51%18.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.61%4.24cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -0.782%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.78%23.75%23.59%25.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.553.823.804.1028.17%26.18%26.32%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Palestino (Local) : 56.79% ; Huachipato (Visiteur) : 19.60% ; Match nul : 23.61%. Pour Huachipato (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.10. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.49, soit une espérance positive de +7.61%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.91%EV -5.73%E -3.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.51%EV +7.61%E +1.39%K +1.70%G +0.129%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.58%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 00:24
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.46%EV -3.46%E -2.03%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV +2.91%E +0.554%K +0.685%G +0.020%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 23:40
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.38%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.13%EV -1.79%E -0.358%K -0.447%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.49%EV -3.68%E -0.902%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-17 23:45
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -8.00%E -4.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -1.99%E -0.398%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 00:19
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.91%EV -3.46%E -2.03%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.20%EV -2.97%E -0.600%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.88%EV -9.82%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 23:49
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -8.57%E -5.32%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -3.95%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 00:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -8.00%E -4.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.12%EV -4.93%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.65%EV -7.46%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 00:19
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 00:24
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -8.57%E -5.32%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 00:23
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -8.57%E -5.32%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 00:23
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.87%EV -8.00%E -4.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -9.11%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 00:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -11.98%E -7.73%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-17 23:04
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -9.14%E -5.71%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.01%E -4.17%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-18 00:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -9.14%E -5.71%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.01%E -4.17%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-18 00:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -9.14%E -5.71%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.01%E -4.17%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-18 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.89%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-17 23:29
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.89%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 23:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -8.00%E -4.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -6.89%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-17 23:54
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.84%E -6.90%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -6.89%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-18 00:19
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -7.87%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.21%E -0.782%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -5.73%E -3.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -7.87%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 23:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -5.73%E -3.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -7.87%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 23:24
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -5.73%E -3.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -7.87%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 23:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -8.57%E -5.32%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -7.87%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 23:54
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.07%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -8.85%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -9.11%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-18 00:19
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.71%EV -4.59%E -2.73%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.76%EV -8.85%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -15.01%E -4.17%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-18 00:24
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -9.83%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-17 23:24
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -7.43%E -4.56%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -9.83%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -13.83%E -3.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-18 00:25
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -9.14%E -5.71%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -9.83%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-18 00:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -11.98%E -7.73%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -9.83%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-18 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -10.84%E -6.90%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -9.83%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-18 00:19
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -11.79%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 23:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -9.14%E -5.71%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -11.79%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-17 23:54
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.00%E -4.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -11.79%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-17 23:29
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -9.14%E -5.71%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.79%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-17 23:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -8.00%E -4.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -13.75%E -3.13%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-17 23:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.68%EV -10.27%E -6.50%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -13.75%E -3.13%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-17 23:55
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -8.00%E -4.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -15.12%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-17 23:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -8.00%E -4.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -15.12%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-17 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -8.57%E -5.32%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -15.12%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-17 23:24
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -8.57%E -5.32%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -15.12%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-17 23:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.48%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -15.71%E -3.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -12.65%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-18 00:00
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.48%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -15.71%E -3.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -12.65%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-18 00:00
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.48%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -15.71%E -3.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -12.65%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 23:59
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.48%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -15.71%E -3.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -12.65%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-18 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.48%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -15.71%E -3.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -12.65%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-18 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.57%EV -4.59%E -2.73%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -17.67%E -4.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.01%E -4.17%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 23:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.41%EV -5.73%E -3.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -19.63%E -4.79%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -16.19%E -4.56%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-18 00:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.41%EV -5.73%E -3.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -19.63%E -4.79%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -16.19%E -4.56%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 23:59
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.38%EV -10.84%E -6.90%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -21.59%E -5.40%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-17 22:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-08-18 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-08-18 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-08-18 00:15
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-08-18 00:15
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.72%1.2%2026-08-17 23:50
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.48%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.7%2026-08-18 00:15