Language:English
Palestino v Audax Italiano
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Palestino (Local)
Prediction 48.91%2.04fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -3.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.87%48.94%48.85%51.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.891.901.9857.80%53.00%52.63%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Audax Italiano (Visit)
Prediction 24.45%4.09fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.546%
Kelly -0.728%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.58%24.44%24.49%25.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.723.704.0028.57%26.85%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.63%3.75fair odd
EV +2.01%
Edge +0.524%
Kelly +0.709%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 3.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.05%26.62%26.66%28.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.403.403.8334.72%29.39%29.41%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Palestino (Local): 48.91%; Audax Italiano (Visit): 24.45%; Draw: 26.63%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.23%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.73%EV -5.12%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV +2.01%E +0.524%K +0.709%G +0.014% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.05%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.41%E -0.863%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.62%EV -0.124%E -0.033%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.39%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -3.41%E -0.863%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 23:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -8.04%E -4.28%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.63%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.38%EV -3.90%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -5.45%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -5.45%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.45%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.45%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -8.04%E -4.28%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.52%EV -7.56%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.07%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -9.02%E -4.85%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -10.49%E -5.73%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -14.40%E -8.23%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -2.19%E -0.546%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.81%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.81%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.81%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.07%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -8.04%E -4.28%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.30%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.30%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.79%EV -9.02%E -4.85%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.04%E -4.28%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.49%E -5.73%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.87%EV -3.15%E -1.59%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-31 23:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -5.11%E -2.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -7.07%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 23:58 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -7.07%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.49%E -5.73%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.96%E -6.64%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -14.40%E -8.23%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -13.19%E -3.72%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.44%E -4.14%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -14.77%E -4.62%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -14.77%E -4.62%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -14.77%E -4.62%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -14.77%E -4.62%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 47.73%EV -15.38%E -8.89%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.59%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.67%EV -23.29%E -8.09%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.89% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.60% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18% | 3.2% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.47% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.59% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |