La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Palestino v Audax Italiano
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Palestino (Local)
Predicción 48.91%2.04momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -3.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.87%48.94%48.85%51.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.891.901.9857.80%53.00%52.63%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Audax Italiano (Visitante)
Predicción 24.45%4.09momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.546%
Kelly -0.728%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.58%24.44%24.49%25.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.723.704.0028.57%26.85%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.63%3.75momio equitativo
EV +2.01%
Ventaja +0.524%
Kelly +0.709%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.05%26.62%26.66%28.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.403.403.8334.72%29.39%29.41%26.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.23%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.73%EV -5.12%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV +2.01%E +0.524%K +0.709%G +0.014% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.05%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.41%E -0.863%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.62%EV -0.124%E -0.033%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.39%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -3.41%E -0.863%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 23:58 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -8.04%E -4.28%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| GTbets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.63%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.38%EV -3.90%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -5.45%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -5.45%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.45%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.45%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -8.04%E -4.28%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.52%EV -7.56%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.07%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Bovada | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -9.02%E -4.85%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -10.49%E -5.73%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -14.40%E -8.23%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -2.19%E -0.546%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.81%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.81%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.81%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.07%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -8.04%E -4.28%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.30%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.30%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.79%EV -9.02%E -4.85%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.04%E -4.28%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.49%E -5.73%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.87%EV -3.15%E -1.59%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-31 23:56 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -5.11%E -2.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -7.07%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 23:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -7.07%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.49%E -5.73%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.96%E -6.64%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -14.40%E -8.23%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -13.19%E -3.72%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.44%E -4.14%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -14.77%E -4.62%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -14.77%E -4.62%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-31 23:59 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -14.77%E -4.62%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -14.77%E -4.62%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 47.73%EV -15.38%E -8.89%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.59%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.67%EV -23.29%E -8.09%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.89% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.60% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18% | 3.2% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.47% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.59% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 00:00 |