Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.65
assuming max odds 2.31
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: O'Higgins (Local): 28.97%; Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit): 41.94%; Draw: 29.09%. For O'Higgins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +34.72%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.63%EV +34.72%E +7.47%K +9.51%G +3.30% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.72%EV -23.67%E -13.01%K -28.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV +4.72%E +1.31%K +1.82%G +0.086% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 15:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV +24.58%E +5.72%K +7.45%G +1.83% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -26.19%E -14.88%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV +1.81%E +0.517%K +0.724%G +0.013% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 08:41 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV +15.89%E +3.97%K +5.30%G +0.842% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -27.45%E -15.87%K -37.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV +1.81%E +0.517%K +0.724%G +0.013% | 11.4% | 2026-03-06 06:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV +15.89%E +3.97%K +5.30%G +0.842% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -27.45%E -15.87%K -37.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV +1.81%E +0.517%K +0.724%G +0.013% | 11.4% | 2026-03-06 06:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +2.85%E +0.804%K +1.12%G +0.032% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -16.12%E -8.06%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +2.85%E +0.804%K +1.12%G +0.032% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -16.12%E -8.06%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +2.85%E +0.804%K +1.12%G +0.032% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -16.12%E -8.06%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +2.85%E +0.804%K +1.12%G +0.032% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -16.12%E -8.06%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +2.85%E +0.804%K +1.12%G +0.032% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -16.12%E -8.06%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +2.85%E +0.804%K +1.12%G +0.032% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -16.12%E -8.06%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV +1.41%E +0.402%K +0.562%G +0.008% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.10%EV -17.38%E -8.82%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV +1.41%E +0.402%K +0.562%G +0.008% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -18.22%E -9.34%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.96%EV -0.333%E -0.097%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.36%EV -4.80%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.68%EV -5.75%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -1.49%E -0.439%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.80%EV -3.12%E -1.35%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.80%EV -5.75%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -1.49%E -0.439%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.80%EV -3.12%E -1.35%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.80%EV -5.75%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.83%E -4.57%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -9.41%E -4.36%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.40%EV -7.00%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.57%EV -4.80%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.02%EV -7.00%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.40%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.01%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.01%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -4.38%E -1.92%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -4.38%E -1.92%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -9.60%E -3.08%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 23:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.18%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.18%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -10.18%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.61%EV -13.61%E -6.61%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.07%EV -12.15%E -4.02%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -10.18%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -14.03%E -6.84%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -11.63%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -11.63%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -14.03%E -6.84%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -15.64%E -5.39%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-07 23:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -15.98%E -5.51%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -9.83%E -4.57%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-07 23:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -16.56%E -5.75%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -16.12%E -8.06%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -20.01%E -7.27%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.18%EV -17.43%E -6.11%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.57%EV -14.03%E -6.84%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.24%EV -20.01%E -7.27%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.31% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 42.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.28% | -0.9% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.71% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.71% | 2.4% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |