La escuela de los momios

O'Higgins v Universidad Católica (CHI)

Inicio: 2026-03-07 23:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

O'Higgins (Local)

Predicción 28.97%3.45momio equitativo
EV +34.72%
Ventaja +7.47%
Kelly +9.51%
Crecimiento +3.30%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.63%28.46%29.07%30.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.283.174.6535.09%30.48%31.50%21.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visitante)

Predicción 41.94%2.38momio equitativo
EV -3.12%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -2.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.13%42.55%41.91%52.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.732.122.182.3157.80%47.10%45.87%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.09%3.44momio equitativo
EV +4.72%
Ventaja +1.31%
Kelly +1.82%
Crecimiento +0.086%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.65%28.99%29.03%30.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.163.153.6036.36%31.61%31.75%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.63%EV +34.72%E +7.47%K +9.51%G +3.30%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.72%EV -23.67%E -13.01%K -28.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV +4.72%E +1.31%K +1.82%G +0.086%4.2%2026-03-07 15:44
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV +24.58%E +5.72%K +7.45%G +1.83%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -26.19%E -14.88%K -34.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV +1.81%E +0.517%K +0.724%G +0.013%8.6%2026-03-07 08:41
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV +15.89%E +3.97%K +5.30%G +0.842%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -27.45%E -15.87%K -37.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV +1.81%E +0.517%K +0.724%G +0.013%11.4%2026-03-06 06:59
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV +15.89%E +3.97%K +5.30%G +0.842%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -27.45%E -15.87%K -37.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV +1.81%E +0.517%K +0.724%G +0.013%11.4%2026-03-06 06:59
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +2.85%E +0.804%K +1.12%G +0.032%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -16.12%E -8.06%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +2.85%E +0.804%K +1.12%G +0.032%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -16.12%E -8.06%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 23:04
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +2.85%E +0.804%K +1.12%G +0.032%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -16.12%E -8.06%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 23:05
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +2.85%E +0.804%K +1.12%G +0.032%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -16.12%E -8.06%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 23:04
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +2.85%E +0.804%K +1.12%G +0.032%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -16.12%E -8.06%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 23:05
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +2.85%E +0.804%K +1.12%G +0.032%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -16.12%E -8.06%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 23:04
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV +1.41%E +0.402%K +0.562%G +0.008%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.10%EV -17.38%E -8.82%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 23:04
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV +1.41%E +0.402%K +0.562%G +0.008%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -18.22%E -9.34%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 23:04
Pinnacle3.44I 29.07%NM 27.96%EV -0.333%E -0.097%K -0.136%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.36%EV -4.80%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.68%EV -5.75%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 23:00
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -1.49%E -0.439%K -0.622%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.80%EV -3.12%E -1.35%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.80%EV -5.75%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 23:04
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -1.49%E -0.439%K -0.622%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.80%EV -3.12%E -1.35%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.80%EV -5.75%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 23:04
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.83%E -4.57%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 23:04
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 23:04
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -9.41%E -4.36%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 23:04
GTbets3.21I 31.15%NM 29.40%EV -7.00%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.57%EV -4.80%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 23:09
1xBet3.21I 31.15%NM 29.02%EV -7.00%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.40%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 23:04
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 23:09
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 23:04
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.01%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 23:04
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.01%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 22:59
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 23:05
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -4.38%E -1.92%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 23:04
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -4.38%E -1.92%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 23:04
Marathon Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 23:10
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 23:10
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 23:09
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 23:04
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 23:05
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -9.60%E -3.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 23:08
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.18%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 23:04
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.18%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 23:04
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -10.18%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.61%EV -13.61%E -6.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.07%EV -12.15%E -4.02%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 23:04
Parions Sport (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -10.18%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -14.03%E -6.84%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-07 23:04
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -11.63%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 23:09
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -11.63%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -14.03%E -6.84%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-07 23:04
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 23:05
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 23:04
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 23:04
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 23:04
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 23:04
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-07 22:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-07 22:44
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -15.64%E -5.39%K -8.23%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-07 23:05
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -15.98%E -5.51%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -9.83%E -4.57%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-07 23:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -16.56%E -5.75%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -16.12%E -8.06%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -20.01%E -7.27%K -11.43%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-07 23:04
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 29.18%EV -17.43%E -6.11%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.57%EV -14.03%E -6.84%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.24%EV -20.01%E -7.27%K -11.43%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-07 23:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 30.31%2.38I 42.02%NM 42.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.28%-0.9%2026-03-07 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-03-07 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-03-07 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-03-07 23:04
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.71%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.71%2.4%2026-03-07 23:04