The School of Odds
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O'Higgins v Union La Calera

2026-09-06 17:45 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

O'Higgins (Local)

Prediction 50.31%1.99fair odd
EV -6.93%
Edge -3.75%
Kelly -8.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.10%50.31%50.31%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.821.851.8556.50%54.91%54.05%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Union La Calera (Visit)

Prediction 22.96%4.36fair odd
EV -5.86%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%22.96%22.96%23.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.014.104.1025.97%24.92%24.39%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.73%3.74fair odd
EV -6.44%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.70%26.73%26.73%26.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.433.503.5030.30%29.14%28.57%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: O'Higgins (Local): 50.31%; Union La Calera (Visit): 22.96%; Draw: 26.73%. For Union La Calera (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.10, with an expected value of -5.86%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:55
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:55
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:55
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.31%EV -10.45%E -5.87%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.10%EV -10.95%E -6.19%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -11.60%E -3.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.10%EV -10.95%E -6.19%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -11.60%E -3.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%7.0%2026-08-30 18:30