Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.94
assuming max odds 4.19
assuming max odds 3.74
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: O'Higgins (Local): 50.22%; Union La Calera (Visit): 23.50%; Draw: 26.29%. For Union La Calera (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.19, with an expected value of -1.55%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.33%EV -2.58%E -1.33%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.10%EV -8.59%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.19%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.55%EV -4.36%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.06%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.76%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.47%EV -4.83%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -6.69%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.65%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -7.18%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -5.09%E -2.69%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.38%EV -6.09%E -3.26%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.93%EV -1.55%E -0.369%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.69%EV -1.69%E -0.453%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 17:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -6.09%E -3.26%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.09%E -3.26%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -6.60%E -3.55%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -3.66%E -0.893%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -3.66%E -0.893%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.02%EV -7.60%E -4.13%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.66%E -0.893%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.02%EV -7.60%E -4.13%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.66%E -0.893%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.02%EV -7.60%E -4.13%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.66%E -0.893%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.06%EV -7.60%E -4.13%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.66%E -0.893%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.66%E -0.893%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 17:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.66%E -0.893%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 17:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -4.83%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.48%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 17:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -8.60%E -4.73%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -8.60%E -4.73%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -6.69%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 17:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.96%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.02%EV -10.11%E -5.65%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -11.95%E -3.57%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.26%EV -10.61%E -5.96%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.95%EV -11.12%E -6.28%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.95%EV -11.12%E -6.28%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -12.12%E -6.93%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.28%EV -12.12%E -6.93%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -11.95%E -3.57%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -12.12%E -6.93%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -13.63%E -7.92%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.96% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |