Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

O'Higgins v Union La Calera

Início: 2026-09-06 17:45 UTC

Final: O'Higgins 2–1 Union La Calera

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

O'Higgins (Local)

Previsão 50.22%1.99odd justa
EV -2.58%
Vantagem -1.33%
Kelly -2.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.33%50.27%50.14%52.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.831.831.9458.14%54.66%54.64%51.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Union La Calera (Visitante)

Previsão 23.50%4.26odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -0.369%
Kelly -0.484%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.54%23.48%23.50%24.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.903.904.1927.78%25.64%25.67%23.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.29%3.80odd justa
EV -1.69%
Vantagem -0.453%
Kelly -0.618%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.04%26.25%26.36%27.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.473.503.7430.30%28.81%28.57%26.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: O'Higgins (Local): 50.22%; Union La Calera (Visitante): 23.50%; Empate: 26.29%. Para Union La Calera (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.26. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.19, com valor esperado de -1.55%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.33%EV -2.58%E -1.33%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.10%EV -8.59%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:20
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.19%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.55%EV -4.36%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.06%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 17:40
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.76%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.47%EV -4.83%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -6.69%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 17:35
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.65%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -7.18%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -5.09%E -2.69%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 17:30
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.38%EV -6.09%E -3.26%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.93%EV -1.55%E -0.369%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.69%EV -1.69%E -0.453%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 17:44
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -6.09%E -3.26%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.09%E -3.26%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 17:35
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -6.60%E -3.55%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 17:15
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 17:15
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 17:15
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -3.66%E -0.893%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 17:35
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -3.66%E -0.893%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 17:35
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 17:40
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 17:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.02%EV -7.60%E -4.13%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.66%E -0.893%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.02%EV -7.60%E -4.13%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.66%E -0.893%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 17:40
BetAnything🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.02%EV -7.60%E -4.13%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.66%E -0.893%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.06%EV -7.60%E -4.13%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 17:40
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.66%E -0.893%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.66%E -0.893%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 17:39
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.66%E -0.893%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 17:38
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -4.83%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.48%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 17:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 17:40
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 17:39
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 17:35
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 17:35
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -8.60%E -4.73%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -8.60%E -4.73%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -6.69%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 17:39
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.96%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 17:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 17:35
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 17:40
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 17:35
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.02%EV -10.11%E -5.65%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -11.95%E -3.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 17:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.26%EV -10.61%E -5.96%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.95%EV -11.12%E -6.28%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.95%EV -11.12%E -6.28%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -12.12%E -6.93%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.28%EV -12.12%E -6.93%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -11.95%E -3.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-06 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -12.12%E -6.93%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -13.63%E -7.92%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 17:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-09-06 17:40
Matchbook◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.96%1.4%2026-09-06 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-09-06 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-09-06 17:40
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-09-06 17:40
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%3.1%2026-09-06 17:40