The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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O'Higgins v Palestino

2026-08-23 23:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

O'Higgins (Local)

Prediction 43.34%2.31fair odd
EV -4.65%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -3.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.23%43.34%43.22%43.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.122.2050.00%47.56%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Palestino (Visit)

Prediction 28.84%3.47fair odd
EV -4.83%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.43%28.84%28.81%29.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.083.103.3034.48%32.44%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.82%3.59fair odd
EV -5.41%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.24%27.82%27.97%28.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.283.303.4032.26%30.51%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: O'Higgins (Local): 43.34%; Palestino (Visit): 28.84%; Draw: 27.82%. For O'Higgins (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.20, with an expected value of -4.65%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.65%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -4.83%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 15:05
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -10.60%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 16:00
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -8.12%E -3.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 16:34
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -8.12%E -3.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 16:29
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -8.12%E -3.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.60%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 15:05
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -8.12%E -3.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 29.67%EV -11.75%E -3.84%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 15:19
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.60%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 15:04
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.48%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 15:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -11.15%E -5.44%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -14.92%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-15 15:05
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -11.15%E -5.44%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.85%EV -16.37%E -5.64%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.92%EV -13.75%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-15 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.02%EV -13.32%E -6.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.67%EV -16.37%E -5.64%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.31%EV -12.36%E -3.92%K -5.75%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-15 15:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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