Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.04
assuming max odds 4.05
assuming max odds 3.68
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: O'Higgins (Local): 48.70%; Palestino (Visit): 24.94%; Draw: 26.36%. For Palestino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.997%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.83%EV -6.01%E -3.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV +0.997%E +0.246%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.42%EV -4.04%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -6.01%E -3.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.18%EV -0.998%E -0.251%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.98%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -8.45%E -4.49%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -1.50%E -0.379%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 22:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -8.45%E -4.49%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -1.50%E -0.379%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 22:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -8.93%E -4.78%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.74%E -0.704%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 22:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -8.93%E -4.78%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.74%E -0.704%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 22:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -8.93%E -4.78%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -2.74%E -0.704%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -14.78%E -8.44%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -2.74%E -0.704%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -7.96%E -4.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -7.96%E -4.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -7.96%E -4.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -9.91%E -5.36%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-23 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.93%E -4.78%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.24%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-23 22:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.91%E -5.36%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.24%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.04%E -2.58%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.93%EV -4.06%E -2.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.90%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -8.93%E -4.78%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 22:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -12.34%E -6.86%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.04%EV -7.96%E -4.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.78%EV -6.73%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -6.67%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 22:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -6.01%E -3.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 22:38 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -12.34%E -6.86%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.06%E -2.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -8.98%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.06%EV -4.30%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 21:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.98%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -9.04%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 22:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.23%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 22:43 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.45%E -4.49%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.23%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-23 22:53 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -9.91%E -5.36%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.23%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.00%EV -11.37%E -6.25%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.23%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 22:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.91%E -5.36%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.23%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.91%E -5.36%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.23%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 22:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.91%E -5.36%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.23%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 22:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -12.34%E -6.86%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -10.23%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -8.45%E -4.49%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 22:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -7.47%E -3.93%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.91%E -5.36%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.91%E -5.36%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.91%E -5.36%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.91%E -5.36%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.12%EV -9.42%E -5.06%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -13.97%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -9.04%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -10.88%E -5.95%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -15.21%E -4.47%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-23 22:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -0.654%E -0.321%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -16.46%E -4.91%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -0.654%E -0.321%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -16.46%E -4.91%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -0.654%E -0.321%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -16.46%E -4.91%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -0.654%E -0.321%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -16.46%E -4.91%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -0.654%E -0.321%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -16.46%E -4.91%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -2.60%E -1.30%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -17.71%E -5.37%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.64%E -4.89%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -3.58%E -1.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -18.95%E -5.83%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -16.95%E -5.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -3.58%E -1.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -18.95%E -5.83%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -16.95%E -5.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-23 22:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 22:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 22:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 2.0% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |