Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

O'Higgins v Palestino

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 22:59 UTC

Score final : O'Higgins 0–1 Palestino

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

O'Higgins (Local)

Prévision 48.70%2.05cote équitable
EV -0.654%
Avantage -0.321%
Kelly -0.629%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.69%48.68%48.57%51.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.901.882.0457.14%52.70%53.19%49.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Palestino (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.94%4.01cote équitable
EV +0.997%
Avantage +0.246%
Kelly +0.327%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.19%24.91%25.07%27.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.653.654.0530.77%27.42%27.40%24.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.36%3.79cote équitable
EV -2.98%
Avantage -0.810%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.12%26.41%26.35%28.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.433.403.6831.75%29.17%29.41%27.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : O'Higgins (Local) : 48.70% ; Palestino (Visiteur) : 24.94% ; Match nul : 26.36%. Pour Palestino (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.01. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.05, soit une espérance positive de +0.997%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.83%EV -6.01%E -3.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV +0.997%E +0.246%K +0.327%G +0.003%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.42%EV -4.04%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 22:54
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -6.01%E -3.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.18%EV -0.998%E -0.251%K -0.336%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.98%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 22:54
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -8.45%E -4.49%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -1.50%E -0.379%K -0.508%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 22:44
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -8.45%E -4.49%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -1.50%E -0.379%K -0.508%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 22:44
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -8.93%E -4.78%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.74%E -0.704%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 22:43
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -8.93%E -4.78%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.74%E -0.704%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 22:44
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -8.93%E -4.78%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -2.74%E -0.704%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 22:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -14.78%E -8.44%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -2.74%E -0.704%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -7.96%E -4.21%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -7.96%E -4.21%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 22:39
BetAnything🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -7.96%E -4.21%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 22:39
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -9.91%E -5.36%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 22:49
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.93%E -4.78%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.24%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 22:44
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.91%E -5.36%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.24%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 22:55
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.04%E -2.58%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 22:39
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.93%EV -4.06%E -2.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.90%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 22:39
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 22:54
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -8.93%E -4.78%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 22:48
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -12.34%E -6.86%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 22:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.04%EV -7.96%E -4.21%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.78%EV -6.73%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -6.67%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 22:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -6.01%E -3.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 22:54
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 22:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -12.34%E -6.86%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 22:54
Coolbet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.06%E -2.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -8.98%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.06%EV -4.30%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 21:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.98%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -9.04%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 22:44
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.23%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 22:43
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.45%E -4.49%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.23%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 22:53
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -9.91%E -5.36%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.23%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 22:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.00%EV -11.37%E -6.25%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.23%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 22:44
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.91%E -5.36%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.23%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 22:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.91%E -5.36%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.23%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 22:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.91%E -5.36%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.23%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 22:49
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -12.34%E -6.86%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -10.23%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-23 22:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -8.45%E -4.49%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 22:40
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -7.47%E -3.93%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.91%E -5.36%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.91%E -5.36%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 22:39
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.91%E -5.36%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 22:39
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.91%E -5.36%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 22:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.12%EV -9.42%E -5.06%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -13.97%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -9.04%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 22:39
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -10.88%E -5.95%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -15.21%E -4.47%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -0.654%E -0.321%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -16.46%E -4.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 22:39
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -0.654%E -0.321%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -16.46%E -4.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -0.654%E -0.321%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -16.46%E -4.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 22:39
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -0.654%E -0.321%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -16.46%E -4.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 22:39
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -0.654%E -0.321%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -16.46%E -4.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 22:39
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -2.60%E -1.30%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -17.71%E -5.37%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.64%E -4.89%K -7.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -3.58%E -1.81%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -18.95%E -5.83%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -16.95%E -5.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 22:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -3.58%E -1.81%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -18.95%E -5.83%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -16.95%E -5.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-08-23 22:54
Smarkets◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-08-23 22:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-08-23 22:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-08-23 22:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-08-23 22:54
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.0%2026-08-23 22:54