Język:Polski
La Serena v Ñublense
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
La Serena (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 38.41%2.60kurs godziwy
EV -1.27%
Przewaga -0.496%
Kelly -0.811%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.57
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.26%38.39%38.54%39.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.392.402.5744.44%41.78%41.67%38.91%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Ñublense (Goście)
Prognoza 33.14%3.02kurs godziwy
EV -0.589%
Przewaga -0.196%
Kelly -0.294%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.04%33.01%33.08%34.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.602.772.773.0038.46%36.09%36.10%33.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 28.45%3.52kurs godziwy
EV -3.28%
Przewaga -0.964%
Kelly -1.37%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.40
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.45%28.60%28.38%31.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.853.193.203.4035.09%31.31%31.25%29.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: La Serena (Gospodarze): 38.41%; Ñublense (Goście): 33.14%; Remis: 28.45%. Dla wyniku Ñublense (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.02. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 3.00, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.589%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.31%EV -1.27%E -0.496%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.49%EV -7.88%E -2.83%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -3.28%E -0.964%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 12:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.39%EV -3.96%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.24%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.74%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -3.96%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.69%EV -4.35%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.88%EV -2.91%E -0.993%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.42%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.12%EV -5.89%E -2.07%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.54%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.12%EV -5.89%E -2.07%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.54%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 15:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.12%EV -5.89%E -2.07%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.54%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.12%EV -5.89%E -2.07%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.54%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.88%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.70%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -5.88%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -8.87%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.54%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.18%EV -6.27%E -2.57%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.76%EV -8.54%E -3.09%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.06%EV -5.55%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -7.04%E -2.91%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.03%EV -7.42%E -3.08%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.87%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.80%E -3.25%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.80%E -3.25%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -6.55%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.54%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.80%E -3.25%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.87%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-04 02:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.80%E -3.25%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.87%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -7.80%E -3.25%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -13.84%E -5.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -7.80%E -3.25%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -13.84%E -5.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -7.80%E -3.25%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -13.84%E -5.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -7.80%E -3.25%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -13.84%E -5.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -3.90%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 15:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -3.90%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -13.18%E -5.03%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 14:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.57%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.12%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.32%EV -13.23%E -4.34%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -9.73%E -4.14%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.25%E -0.761%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 15:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -9.73%E -4.14%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -3.90%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 15:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -9.73%E -4.14%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -3.90%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -9.73%E -4.14%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -9.73%E -4.14%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.87%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.73%E -4.14%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.54%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -9.73%E -4.14%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.87%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.39%E -3.30%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -9.73%E -4.14%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -9.73%E -4.14%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -0.589%E -0.196%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -18.92%E -6.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.68%EV -9.73%E -4.14%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -14.66%E -4.89%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.68%EV -9.73%E -4.14%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -14.66%E -4.89%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.65%E -5.06%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.87%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.65%E -5.06%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.87%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.65%E -5.06%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.87%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -11.65%E -5.06%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -12.19%E -4.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.65%E -5.06%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -14.66%E -4.89%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.65%E -5.06%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -14.66%E -4.89%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -13.57%E -6.03%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -14.66%E -4.89%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.03%EV -13.57%E -6.03%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.52%EV -13.18%E -5.03%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -13.57%E -6.03%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -12.19%E -4.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.53% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.63% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.84% | 2.0% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |