Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato v Universidad Católica (CHI)

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 19:00 UTC

Final: Huachipato 0–3 Universidad Católica (CHI)

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato (Local)

Prediction 28.97%3.45fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.441%
Kelly -0.625%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.30%28.92%28.94%30.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.163.153.4033.90%31.69%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit)

Prediction 43.54%2.30fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.24%43.62%43.52%46.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.102.2251.28%47.28%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.49%3.64fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.448%
Kelly -0.621%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.50%27.46%27.53%28.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.323.303.5831.25%30.10%30.30%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Huachipato (Local): 28.97%; Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit): 43.54%; Draw: 27.49%. For Huachipato (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -1.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -1.50%E -0.441%K -0.625%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -5.94%E -2.75%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -2.43%E -0.684%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 18:50
1xBet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.44%EV -2.08%E -0.615%K -0.874%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.71%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.85%EV -1.60%E -0.448%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 18:49
Coolbet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.15%EV -2.08%E -0.615%K -0.874%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 18:49
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -15.09%E -7.74%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-31 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -5.56%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.92%EV -8.12%E -3.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -7.92%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 18:50
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 18:30
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 18:38
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -5.94%E -2.75%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.92%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -5.94%E -2.75%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.92%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 18:40
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -5.94%E -2.75%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.92%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 18:40
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -9.43%E -4.53%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 18:50
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -9.43%E -4.53%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 18:50
GTbets🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.46%EV -6.72%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.73%EV -3.33%E -1.50%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.82%EV -6.28%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 13:10
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 18:30
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 18:30
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.92%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 18:48
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.92%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 18:50
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 18:30
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.73%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 18:40
Everygame🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.73%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 18:50
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.73%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.74%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 20:20
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.74%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 20:20
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.74%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.74%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 20:19
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.74%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 20:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.74%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.92%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-31 18:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%EV -7.25%E -3.40%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.92%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-31 18:30
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.24%EV -5.51%E -2.54%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-26 20:19
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-26 20:20
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-31 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-31 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-31 18:30
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.73%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 18:40
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.73%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-31 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.64%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -11.64%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -11.64%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.42%EV -7.69%E -3.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-26 20:19
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-31 18:29
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-31 18:30
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-31 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-31 18:30
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.73%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-31 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.01%EV -14.22%E -7.22%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-31 18:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -14.54%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -10.73%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-31 18:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%0.6%2026-05-31 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-31 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-31 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-31 18:50
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-31 18:40
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%4.3%2026-05-31 18:50