La escuela de los momios

Huachipato v Universidad Católica (CHI)

Inicio: 2026-05-31 19:00 UTC

Final: Huachipato 0–3 Universidad Católica (CHI)

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Huachipato (Local)

Predicción 28.97%3.45momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.441%
Kelly -0.625%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.30%28.92%28.94%30.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.163.153.4033.90%31.69%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visitante)

Predicción 43.54%2.30momio equitativo
EV -3.33%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -2.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.24%43.62%43.52%46.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.112.102.2251.28%47.28%47.62%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.49%3.64momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -0.448%
Kelly -0.621%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.50%27.46%27.53%28.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.323.303.5831.25%30.10%30.30%27.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -1.50%E -0.441%K -0.625%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -5.94%E -2.75%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -2.43%E -0.684%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 18:50
1xBet3.38I 29.59%NM 28.44%EV -2.08%E -0.615%K -0.874%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.71%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.85%EV -1.60%E -0.448%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 18:49
Coolbet3.38I 29.59%NM 28.15%EV -2.08%E -0.615%K -0.874%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 18:49
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 18:40
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -15.09%E -7.74%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-31 18:40
Marathon Bet3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -5.56%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.92%EV -8.12%E -3.85%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -7.92%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 18:50
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 18:30
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 18:38
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -5.94%E -2.75%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.92%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 18:40
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -5.94%E -2.75%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.92%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 18:40
BetAnything3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -5.94%E -2.75%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.92%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 18:40
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -9.43%E -4.53%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 18:50
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -9.43%E -4.53%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 18:50
GTbets3.22I 31.06%NM 29.46%EV -6.72%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.73%EV -3.33%E -1.50%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.82%EV -6.28%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 13:10
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 18:30
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 18:30
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.92%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 18:48
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.92%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 18:50
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 18:30
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.73%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 18:40
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.73%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 18:50
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.73%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 18:50
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.74%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 20:20
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.74%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 20:20
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.74%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.74%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 20:19
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.74%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 20:20
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.74%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.92%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-31 18:29
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 18:30
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%EV -7.25%E -3.40%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.92%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-31 18:30
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.24%EV -5.51%E -2.54%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-26 20:19
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-26 20:20
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-31 18:40
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-31 18:30
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-31 18:30
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.73%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 18:40
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.73%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-31 18:40
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.64%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 18:30
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -11.64%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 18:30
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -11.64%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.42%EV -7.69%E -3.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-26 20:19
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-31 18:29
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-31 18:30
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-31 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.56%E -4.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-31 18:30
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.73%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-31 18:30
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.01%EV -14.22%E -7.22%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -12.05%E -3.76%K -5.48%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-31 18:39
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -14.54%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -10.73%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-31 18:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%0.6%2026-05-31 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-31 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-31 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-31 18:50
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-31 18:40
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%4.3%2026-05-31 18:50