Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato v Palestino

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato (Local)

Prediction 34.16%2.93fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -0.924%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.36%34.21%34.28%36.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.652.8540.00%37.78%37.74%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Palestino (Visit)

Prediction 35.68%2.80fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.418%
Kelly -0.654%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.39%35.64%35.62%37.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.582.602.7743.48%38.79%38.46%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.15%3.32fair odd
EV -0.497%
Edge -0.151%
Kelly -0.216%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.29%30.15%30.10%32.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.603.023.053.3038.46%33.09%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Huachipato (Local): 34.16%; Palestino (Visit): 35.68%; Draw: 30.15%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -0.497%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.76%EV -2.63%E -0.924%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.87%E -0.680%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -7.13%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.76%EV -2.63%E -0.924%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.87%E -0.680%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -7.13%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 14:50
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -2.63%E -0.924%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -2.63%E -0.924%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -10.79%E -4.32%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:50
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -3.66%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -7.94%E -3.08%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:50
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -3.66%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -7.94%E -3.08%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:50
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.34%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -3.65%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -11.05%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 14:50
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.71%EV -5.37%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.15%EV -5.08%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV -0.497%E -0.151%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.79%EV -1.16%E -0.418%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.30%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.02%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -12.58%E -5.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -6.39%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.91%EV -7.94%E -3.08%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.28%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:55
GTbets🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.82%EV -7.42%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.21%EV -4.37%E -1.63%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -5.02%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -6.51%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 14:53
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.68%EV -6.51%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.66%EV -13.46%E -4.69%K -7.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:50
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.79%E -4.32%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 14:50
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -15.57%E -5.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 14:50
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:35
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:50
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:48
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:54
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -12.58%E -5.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -10.15%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -15.57%E -5.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 14:50
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.49%E -4.00%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.79%E -4.32%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -13.16%E -4.57%K -7.00%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.49%E -4.00%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.79%E -4.32%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -13.16%E -4.57%K -7.00%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.49%E -4.00%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.79%E -4.32%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -13.16%E -4.57%K -7.00%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-21 14:55
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.39%EV -10.49%E -4.00%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.45%EV -14.36%E -5.98%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-21 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 33.70%EV -11.86%E -4.60%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 36.84%EV -15.79%E -6.69%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.47%EV -11.05%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:25
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:25
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:25
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -6.15%E -2.34%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -16.14%E -6.87%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-21 14:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.17%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.30%EV -14.36%E -5.98%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.53%EV -11.05%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -3.65%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -11.05%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-21 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 13:55
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 14:35
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.30%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.69%EV -14.36%E -5.98%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.02%EV -21.60%E -8.31%K -13.50%G +0.000%20.1%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -17.93%E -7.79%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -18.59%E -6.88%K -10.93%G +0.000%20.5%2026-02-21 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%1.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%1.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.05%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.77%1.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.19%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%3.9%2026-02-21 14:55