L’École des cotes

Huachipato v Palestino

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Huachipato (Local)

Prévision 34.16%2.93cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -0.924%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.36%34.21%34.28%36.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.652.652.8540.00%37.78%37.74%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Palestino (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.68%2.80cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.418%
Kelly -0.654%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.39%35.64%35.62%37.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.582.602.7743.48%38.79%38.46%36.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.15%3.32cote équitable
EV -0.497%
Avantage -0.151%
Kelly -0.216%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.29%30.15%30.10%32.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.603.023.053.3038.46%33.09%32.79%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.76%EV -2.63%E -0.924%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.87%E -0.680%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -7.13%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 14:50
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.76%EV -2.63%E -0.924%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.87%E -0.680%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -7.13%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 14:50
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -2.63%E -0.924%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 14:50
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -2.63%E -0.924%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -10.79%E -4.32%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:50
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -3.66%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -7.94%E -3.08%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:50
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -3.66%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -7.94%E -3.08%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:50
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.34%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -3.65%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -11.05%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 14:50
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.71%EV -5.37%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.15%EV -5.08%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV -0.497%E -0.151%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.79%EV -1.16%E -0.418%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.30%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 14:55
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.02%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -12.58%E -5.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 14:50
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -6.39%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.91%EV -7.94%E -3.08%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.28%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:55
GTbets2.71I 36.90%NM 34.82%EV -7.42%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.21%EV -4.37%E -1.63%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -5.02%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -6.51%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 14:53
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.68%EV -6.51%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.66%EV -13.46%E -4.69%K -7.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:50
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.79%E -4.32%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 14:50
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -15.57%E -5.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 14:50
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:35
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:50
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:48
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:54
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -12.58%E -5.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 14:50
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -10.15%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -15.57%E -5.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 14:50
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.49%E -4.00%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.79%E -4.32%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -13.16%E -4.57%K -7.00%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.49%E -4.00%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.79%E -4.32%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -13.16%E -4.57%K -7.00%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.49%E -4.00%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.79%E -4.32%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -13.16%E -4.57%K -7.00%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-21 14:55
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.39%EV -10.49%E -4.00%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.45%EV -14.36%E -5.98%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-21 14:50
Unibet (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 33.70%EV -11.86%E -4.60%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 36.84%EV -15.79%E -6.69%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.47%EV -11.05%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:25
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:25
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:25
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:25
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:25
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -6.15%E -2.34%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 13:55
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -16.14%E -6.87%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-21 14:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.17%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.30%EV -14.36%E -5.98%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.53%EV -11.05%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -3.65%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -11.05%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-21 14:50
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 13:55
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 14:35
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 14:35
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.30%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.69%EV -14.36%E -5.98%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.02%EV -21.60%E -8.31%K -13.50%G +0.000%20.1%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -17.93%E -7.79%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -18.59%E -6.88%K -10.93%G +0.000%20.5%2026-02-21 14:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%1.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%1.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.05%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.77%1.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.19%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%3.9%2026-02-21 14:55