Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato v Everton de Viña del Mar

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 19:00 UTC

Final: Huachipato 1–4 Everton de Viña del Mar

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato (Local)

Prediction 31.60%3.16fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.764%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.11%31.65%31.64%33.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.892.883.0937.04%34.66%34.72%32.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit)

Prediction 40.98%2.44fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.07%40.82%41.06%42.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.252.252.3646.51%44.38%44.44%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.43%3.65fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.744%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.14%27.54%27.31%30.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.363.353.5533.90%29.79%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Huachipato (Local): 31.60%; Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit): 40.98%; Draw: 27.43%. For Huachipato (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.09, with an expected value of -2.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 31.05%EV -2.36%E -0.764%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.54%EV -5.35%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 18:49
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -3.62%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 18:14
Pinnacle🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -3.94%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.17%EV -4.12%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -2.64%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 18:45
GTbets🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.15%EV -4.26%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.99%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.86%EV -10.32%E -3.16%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 17:54
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 15:49
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:44
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:34
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:33
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 15:49
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -19.09%E -6.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -5.84%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -7.39%E -3.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -5.84%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -7.39%E -3.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:00
BetAnything🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -5.84%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -7.39%E -3.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 17:54
Betsson🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -5.84%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.58%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:54
NordicBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -5.84%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.58%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:55
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -8.62%E -3.87%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 17:24
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.85%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 18:49
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.85%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 18:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -7.73%E -2.65%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -7.39%E -3.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 18:45
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 16:45
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 18:39
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -9.00%E -3.12%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.85%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 17:19
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.00%E -3.12%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.85%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.00%E -3.12%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.85%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 15:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -9.94%E -3.49%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 15:49
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.94%E -3.49%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.87%E -3.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -9.94%E -3.49%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -11.90%E -5.54%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 18:34
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -6.58%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -2.64%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -6.58%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -2.64%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 17:10
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -6.58%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -2.64%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -6.58%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -2.64%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 17:10
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -6.58%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -2.64%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 17:09
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 15:49
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 17:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 17:25
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.85%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.87%E -3.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 18:40
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.85%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.85%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -13.10%E -4.76%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 17:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.00%EV -13.10%E -4.76%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.70%EV -8.62%E -3.87%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -5.38%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.00%EV -13.10%E -4.76%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.70%EV -8.62%E -3.87%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -5.38%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 17:09
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.10%E -4.76%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 18:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -14.68%E -5.44%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.87%E -3.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 17:19
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -14.68%E -5.44%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -11.90%E -5.54%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-08 15:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-08 18:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.61%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.7%2026-08-08 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.61%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.7%2026-08-08 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.61%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.7%2026-08-08 18:50
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.61%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.7%2026-08-08 18:50
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.06%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%2.3%2026-08-08 18:55

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