Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Huachipato v Everton de Viña del Mar

Início: 2026-08-08 19:00 UTC

Final: Huachipato 1–4 Everton de Viña del Mar

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Huachipato (Local)

Previsão 31.60%3.16odd justa
EV -2.36%
Vantagem -0.764%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.11%31.65%31.64%33.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.892.883.0937.04%34.66%34.72%32.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Everton de Viña del Mar (Visitante)

Previsão 40.98%2.44odd justa
EV -3.30%
Vantagem -1.40%
Kelly -2.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.07%40.82%41.06%42.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.252.252.3646.51%44.38%44.44%42.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.43%3.65odd justa
EV -2.64%
Vantagem -0.744%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.14%27.54%27.31%30.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.363.353.5533.90%29.79%29.85%28.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Huachipato (Local): 31.60%; Everton de Viña del Mar (Visitante): 40.98%; Empate: 27.43%. Para Huachipato (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.16. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.09, com valor esperado de -2.36%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 31.05%EV -2.36%E -0.764%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.54%EV -5.35%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 18:49
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -3.62%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 18:14
Pinnacle🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -3.94%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.17%EV -4.12%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -2.64%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 18:45
GTbets🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.15%EV -4.26%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.99%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.86%EV -10.32%E -3.16%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 17:54
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 15:49
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:44
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:34
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:33
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 15:49
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -19.09%E -6.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -5.84%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -7.39%E -3.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -5.84%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -7.39%E -3.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:00
BetAnything🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -5.84%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -7.39%E -3.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 17:54
Betsson🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -5.84%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.58%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:54
NordicBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -5.84%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.58%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:55
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -8.62%E -3.87%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 17:24
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.85%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 18:49
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.85%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 18:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -7.73%E -2.65%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -7.39%E -3.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 18:45
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 16:45
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 18:39
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -9.00%E -3.12%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.85%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 17:19
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.00%E -3.12%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.85%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.00%E -3.12%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.85%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 15:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -9.94%E -3.49%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 15:49
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.94%E -3.49%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.87%E -3.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -9.94%E -3.49%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -11.90%E -5.54%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 18:34
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -6.58%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -2.64%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -6.58%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -2.64%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 17:10
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -6.58%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -2.64%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -6.58%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -2.64%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 17:10
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -6.58%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -2.64%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 17:09
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 15:49
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 17:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 17:25
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.85%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.87%E -3.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 18:40
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.85%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.52%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.85%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -13.10%E -4.76%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 17:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.00%EV -13.10%E -4.76%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.70%EV -8.62%E -3.87%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -5.38%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.00%EV -13.10%E -4.76%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.70%EV -8.62%E -3.87%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -5.38%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 17:09
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.10%E -4.76%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 18:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -14.68%E -5.44%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.87%E -3.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 17:19
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -14.68%E -5.44%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -11.90%E -5.54%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-08 15:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-08 18:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.61%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.7%2026-08-08 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.61%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.7%2026-08-08 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.61%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.7%2026-08-08 18:50
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.61%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.7%2026-08-08 18:50
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.06%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%2.3%2026-08-08 18:55