Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato v Coquimbo Unido

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 15:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato (Local)

Prediction 34.14%2.93fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -0.947%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.07%34.22%34.14%37.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.682.702.8541.67%37.30%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coquimbo Unido (Visit)

Prediction 35.36%2.83fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.38%35.37%35.32%37.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.552.552.7544.44%39.22%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.50%3.28fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.650%
Kelly -0.944%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.07%30.41%30.53%31.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.003.003.2137.04%33.39%33.33%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Huachipato (Local): 34.14%; Coquimbo Unido (Visit): 35.36%; Draw: 30.50%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.21, with an expected value of -2.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.76%EV -2.70%E -0.947%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -6.05%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.76%EV -2.70%E -0.947%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -6.05%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 14:59
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -4.54%E -1.68%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 15:00
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:59
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:58
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.48%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.37%EV -3.83%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.16%EV -2.70%E -0.845%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 14:59
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.41%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.69%EV -4.89%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -2.09%E -0.650%K -0.944%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 14:59
GTbets🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.03%EV -5.43%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.57%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 14:59
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 14:59
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 14:59
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 15:00
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.63%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 15:00
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -15.85%E -6.66%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-07 15:00
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -7.14%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.24%E -1.96%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 15:00
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -7.14%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.24%E -1.96%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:59
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -7.36%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -4.83%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.35%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.13%EV -6.66%E -2.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -7.27%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:59
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 15:00
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:54
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -10.02%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:59
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.15%E -4.22%K -6.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 14:59
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -12.46%E -4.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -12.46%E -4.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 15:00
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 15:00
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -13.37%E -5.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.28%EV -12.31%E -4.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 15:00
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.52%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -14.59%E -5.21%K -8.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 15:00
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.39%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.45%EV -15.14%E -6.31%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-07 14:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.43%EV -14.08%E -5.80%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.51%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-07 15:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.63%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.69%EV -13.37%E -5.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.68%EV -13.07%E -4.59%K -7.06%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.07%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.05%EV -20.45%E -9.09%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.88%EV -17.64%E -6.53%K -10.38%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-07 14:58
Unibet (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 33.76%EV -11.92%E -4.62%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.99%EV -14.44%E -5.97%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.24%EV -12.15%E -4.22%K -6.46%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.94%E -5.08%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -14.65%E -5.86%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -10.02%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.45%EV -14.65%E -5.86%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -16.91%E -7.20%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.97%EV -17.64%E -6.53%K -10.38%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -18.06%E -7.53%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -4.54%E -1.68%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94%1.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.86%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.96%2.5%2026-03-07 15:00
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.48%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.98%10.1%2026-03-07 15:00