La escuela de los momios

Huachipato v Coquimbo Unido

Inicio: 2026-03-07 15:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Huachipato (Local)

Predicción 34.14%2.93momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -0.947%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.07%34.22%34.14%37.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.682.702.8541.67%37.30%37.04%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Coquimbo Unido (Visitante)

Predicción 35.36%2.83momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.38%35.37%35.32%37.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.552.552.7544.44%39.22%39.22%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.50%3.28momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.650%
Kelly -0.944%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.07%30.41%30.53%31.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.003.003.2137.04%33.39%33.33%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.76%EV -2.70%E -0.947%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -6.05%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 15:00
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.76%EV -2.70%E -0.947%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -6.05%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 14:59
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -4.54%E -1.68%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 15:00
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:59
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:58
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.48%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.37%EV -3.83%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.16%EV -2.70%E -0.845%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 14:59
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.41%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.69%EV -4.89%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -2.09%E -0.650%K -0.944%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 14:59
GTbets2.77I 36.10%NM 34.03%EV -5.43%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.57%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 14:59
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 14:59
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 14:59
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 15:00
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.63%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 15:00
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -15.85%E -6.66%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-07 15:00
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -7.14%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.24%E -1.96%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 15:00
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -7.14%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.24%E -1.96%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:59
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -7.36%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -4.83%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:55
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.35%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.13%EV -6.66%E -2.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -7.27%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:59
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 15:00
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:54
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -10.02%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:59
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.15%E -4.22%K -6.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 14:59
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -12.46%E -4.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -12.46%E -4.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 15:00
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:59
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 15:00
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 15:00
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 15:00
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -13.37%E -5.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 15:00
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.28%EV -12.31%E -4.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 15:00
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 14:59
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.52%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -14.59%E -5.21%K -8.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 15:00
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.39%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.45%EV -15.14%E -6.31%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-07 14:59
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.43%EV -14.08%E -5.80%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.51%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-07 15:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.63%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.69%EV -13.37%E -5.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.68%EV -13.07%E -4.59%K -7.06%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.07%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.05%EV -20.45%E -9.09%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.88%EV -17.64%E -6.53%K -10.38%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-07 14:58
Unibet (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 33.76%EV -11.92%E -4.62%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.99%EV -14.44%E -5.97%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.24%EV -12.15%E -4.22%K -6.46%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.94%E -5.08%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 15:00
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -14.65%E -5.86%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -10.02%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 15:00
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.45%EV -14.65%E -5.86%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -16.91%E -7.20%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.97%EV -17.64%E -6.53%K -10.38%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -18.06%E -7.53%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -4.54%E -1.68%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94%1.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.86%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.96%2.5%2026-03-07 15:00
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.48%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.98%10.1%2026-03-07 15:00