Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato v Colo Colo

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 20:00 UTC

Final: Huachipato 0–0 Colo Colo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato (Local)

Prediction 15.94%6.28fair odd
EV +3.58%
Edge +0.551%
Kelly +0.652%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.89%15.96%15.89%17.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.655.606.5020.00%17.71%17.86%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colo Colo (Visit)

Prediction 64.07%1.56fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -5.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.52%63.99%64.19%66.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.451.441.5274.07%69.13%69.44%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.00%5.00fair odd
EV -0.010%
Edge -0.002%
Kelly -0.003%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.98%20.05%19.92%21.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.514.505.0024.39%22.16%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Huachipato (Local): 15.94%; Colo Colo (Visit): 64.07%; Draw: 20.00%. For Huachipato (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.28. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.58%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV +3.58%E +0.551%K +0.652%G +0.023%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -13.51%E -10.01%K -38.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -0.400%E -0.064%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.81%EV -8.39%E -5.86%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -9.01%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 19:55
Pinnacle🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.45%EV -1.20%E -0.193%K -0.230%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.72%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.83%EV -3.41%E -0.706%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 19:45
Coolbet🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.35%EV -1.20%E -0.193%K -0.230%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.62%EV -7.10%E -4.90%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 18:35
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -4.38%E -0.731%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -4.01%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 19:25
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -4.38%E -0.731%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.10%E -4.90%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:30
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -4.38%E -0.731%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.10%E -4.90%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:53
betano_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -4.38%E -0.731%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.10%E -4.90%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:54
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -4.38%E -0.731%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -9.03%E -6.36%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -2.01%E -0.410%K -0.515%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 19:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -4.38%E -0.731%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -8.39%E -5.86%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 19:35
SportsBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -4.38%E -0.731%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -10.31%E -7.36%K -25.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.01%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 19:30
BetUS🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -5.98%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -5.82%E -3.96%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.98%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -6.46%E -4.43%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.98%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -6.46%E -4.43%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 19:40
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -5.98%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.69%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -14.01%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 19:55
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -5.98%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.69%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -14.01%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 19:55
GTbets🎯5.81I 17.21%NM 16.36%EV -7.41%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.80%EV -4.54%E -3.05%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.84%EV -4.21%E -0.879%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 19:20
1xBet🎯5.77I 17.33%NM 16.60%EV -8.05%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -2.62%E -1.72%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 19:55
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.37%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:15
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.37%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -8.37%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -9.03%E -6.36%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 19:35
Grosvenor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 15:50
TABtouch🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 15:50
Unibet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 15:50
Codere (IT)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.69%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 19:55
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -7.10%E -4.90%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -14.01%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 19:35
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -13.41%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 19:35
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 19:20
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.31%E -7.36%K -25.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -12.87%E -9.46%K -35.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-06 19:30
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -12.87%E -9.46%K -35.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-06 19:30
Bovada🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -13.95%E -2.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.98%EV -6.46%E -4.43%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 19:54
BetAnything🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -13.95%E -2.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.98%EV -6.46%E -4.43%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -13.95%E -2.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.99%EV -8.39%E -5.86%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -4.01%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 19:25
LeoVegas🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -13.95%E -2.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.35%EV -9.03%E -6.36%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.99%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 19:55
BetRivers🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.83%EV -15.54%E -2.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.94%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.24%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.50%EV -15.54%E -2.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.39%EV -11.59%E -8.40%K -30.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.11%EV -13.01%E -2.99%K -3.88%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 19:35
Neds🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.34%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.41%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.34%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.41%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.34%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.41%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 19:15
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.34%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.41%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.87%EV -16.34%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.52%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -18.01%E -4.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.87%EV -16.34%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.52%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -18.01%E -4.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.54%EV -18.73%E -3.67%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.01%EV -9.03%E -6.36%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 19:55
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -20.32%E -4.06%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.31%E -7.36%K -25.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-06 19:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-09-06 19:50
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-09-06 19:55
Smarkets6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-09-06 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-09-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-09-06 19:55
Kalshi6.67I 14.99%NM 14.55%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.03%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.41%3.0%2026-09-06 19:55