Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Huachipato v Colo Colo

Inicio: 2026-09-06 20:00 UTC

Final: Huachipato 0–0 Colo Colo

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Huachipato (Local)

Predicción 15.94%6.28momio equitativo
EV +3.58%
Ventaja +0.551%
Kelly +0.652%
Crecimiento +0.023%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.89%15.96%15.89%17.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.655.606.5020.00%17.71%17.86%15.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Colo Colo (Visitante)

Predicción 64.07%1.56momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -5.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.52%63.99%64.19%66.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.351.451.441.5274.07%69.13%69.44%65.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 20.00%5.00momio equitativo
EV -0.010%
Ventaja -0.002%
Kelly -0.003%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.98%20.05%19.92%21.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.104.514.505.0024.39%22.16%22.22%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Huachipato (Local): 15.94%; Colo Colo (Visitante): 64.07%; Empate: 20.00%. Para Huachipato (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.28. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.58%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV +3.58%E +0.551%K +0.652%G +0.023%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -13.51%E -10.01%K -38.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -0.400%E -0.064%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.81%EV -8.39%E -5.86%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -9.01%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 19:55
Pinnacle🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.45%EV -1.20%E -0.193%K -0.230%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.72%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.83%EV -3.41%E -0.706%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 19:45
Coolbet🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.35%EV -1.20%E -0.193%K -0.230%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.62%EV -7.10%E -4.90%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 18:35
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -4.38%E -0.731%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -4.01%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 19:25
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -4.38%E -0.731%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.10%E -4.90%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:30
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -4.38%E -0.731%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.10%E -4.90%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:53
betano_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -4.38%E -0.731%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.10%E -4.90%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:54
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -4.38%E -0.731%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -9.03%E -6.36%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -2.01%E -0.410%K -0.515%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 19:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -4.38%E -0.731%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -8.39%E -5.86%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 19:35
SportsBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -4.38%E -0.731%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -10.31%E -7.36%K -25.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.01%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 19:30
BetUS🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -5.98%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -5.82%E -3.96%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.98%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -6.46%E -4.43%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.98%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -6.46%E -4.43%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 19:40
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -5.98%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.69%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -14.01%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 19:55
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -5.98%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.69%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -14.01%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 19:55
GTbets🎯5.81I 17.21%NM 16.36%EV -7.41%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.80%EV -4.54%E -3.05%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.84%EV -4.21%E -0.879%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 19:20
1xBet🎯5.77I 17.33%NM 16.60%EV -8.05%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -2.62%E -1.72%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 19:55
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.37%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:15
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.37%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -8.37%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -9.03%E -6.36%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 19:35
Grosvenor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 15:50
TABtouch🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 15:50
Unibet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 15:50
Codere (IT)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.69%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 19:55
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -7.10%E -4.90%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -14.01%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 19:35
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -13.41%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 19:35
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 19:20
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.31%E -7.36%K -25.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -12.87%E -9.46%K -35.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-06 19:30
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -12.87%E -9.46%K -35.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-06 19:30
Bovada🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -13.95%E -2.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.98%EV -6.46%E -4.43%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 19:54
BetAnything🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -13.95%E -2.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.98%EV -6.46%E -4.43%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -13.95%E -2.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.99%EV -8.39%E -5.86%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -4.01%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 19:25
LeoVegas🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -13.95%E -2.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.35%EV -9.03%E -6.36%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.99%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 19:55
BetRivers🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.83%EV -15.54%E -2.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.94%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.24%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.50%EV -15.54%E -2.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.39%EV -11.59%E -8.40%K -30.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.11%EV -13.01%E -2.99%K -3.88%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 19:35
Neds🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.34%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.41%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.34%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.41%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.34%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.41%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 19:15
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.34%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.41%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.87%EV -16.34%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.52%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -18.01%E -4.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.87%EV -16.34%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.52%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -18.01%E -4.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.54%EV -18.73%E -3.67%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.01%EV -9.03%E -6.36%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 19:55
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -20.32%E -4.06%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.31%E -7.36%K -25.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-06 19:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-09-06 19:50
Matchbook◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-09-06 19:55
Smarkets◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-09-06 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-09-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-09-06 19:55
Kalshi◎6.67I 14.99%NM 14.55%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.03%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.41%3.0%2026-09-06 19:55