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Everton de Viña del Mar v Audax Italiano

2026-08-16 00:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Everton de Viña del Mar (Local)

Prediction 49.37%2.03fair odd
EV -7.19%
Edge -3.82%
Kelly -8.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.09%49.37%49.37%49.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.871.881.8854.05%53.36%53.19%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Audax Italiano (Visit)

Prediction 22.93%4.36fair odd
EV -4.85%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.49%22.93%22.93%23.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.903.983.954.1525.64%25.13%25.32%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.70%3.61fair odd
EV -7.19%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -3.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.55%27.70%27.70%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.343.353.3530.30%29.94%29.85%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Everton de Viña del Mar (Local): 49.37%; Audax Italiano (Visit): 22.93%; Draw: 27.70%. For Audax Italiano (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.15, with an expected value of -4.85%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.85%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 09:34
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.85%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 09:35
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 08:35
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 08:35
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 08:35
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 08:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 08:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 08:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.93%14.1%2026-08-09 10:55