Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Everton de Viña del Mar v Audax Italiano

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC

Score final : Everton de Viña del Mar 1–1 Audax Italiano

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Everton de Viña del Mar (Local)

Prévision 50.81%1.97cote équitable
EV -4.48%
Avantage -2.38%
Kelly -5.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.33%50.89%50.87%53.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.811.801.8858.82%55.30%55.56%53.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Audax Italiano (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.18%4.31cote équitable
EV +0.812%
Avantage +0.187%
Kelly +0.242%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.93%23.08%23.14%24.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.753.963.954.3526.67%25.26%25.32%22.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.02%3.84cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.440%
Kelly -0.598%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.03%26.03%26.00%27.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.493.503.7830.77%28.66%28.57%26.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Everton de Viña del Mar (Local) : 50.81% ; Audax Italiano (Visiteur) : 23.18% ; Match nul : 26.02%. Pour Audax Italiano (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.31. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.35, soit une espérance positive de +0.812%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.00%E -3.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.93%EV +0.812%E +0.187%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 17:04
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.16%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.56%EV -1.74%E -0.410%K -0.536%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.28%EV -5.30%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 16:25
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.66%E -0.634%K -0.832%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 23:48
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.98%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 23:35
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.98%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 23:39
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.98%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 23:35
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -4.98%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 23:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -13.62%E -8.01%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -4.98%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.58%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.38%EV -1.66%E -0.440%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.97%EV -7.53%E -4.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -6.14%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 23:39
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 23:34
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.44%E -0.651%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.91%EV -6.51%E -3.54%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 23:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.91%EV -6.51%E -3.54%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 23:34
BetAnything🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.91%EV -6.51%E -3.54%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 23:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 14:39
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 14:44
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 23:39
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 23:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.77%EV -8.03%E -4.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 23:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -12.10%E -6.99%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 23:34
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 23:49
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.40%EV -10.07%E -5.69%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 22.97%EV -8.23%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 23:54
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 10:04
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 10:05
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 10:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 10:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 10:04
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.00%E -3.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 23:35
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.00%E -3.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 23:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.26%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 23:33
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 14:40
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 23:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 23:34
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 23:35
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 23:35
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -7.53%E -4.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -10.78%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 23:39
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -8.03%E -4.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -10.78%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -15.45%E -4.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 10:04
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 23:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 23:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -10.58%E -6.01%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 23:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.46%EV -9.05%E -5.06%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -15.45%E -4.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 10:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.46%EV -9.05%E -5.06%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -15.45%E -4.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 10:04
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 23:34
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 14:49
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 15:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.10%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.6%2026-08-15 23:50
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.46%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-08-15 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.43%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%1.3%2026-08-15 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.43%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%1.3%2026-08-15 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.43%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%1.3%2026-08-15 23:55
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.03%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74%2.2%2026-08-15 23:55