Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Limache v Universidad de Chile

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 21:30 UTC

Final: Deportes Limache 1–3 Universidad de Chile

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Limache (Local)

Prediction 24.64%4.06fair odd
EV -0.226%
Edge -0.056%
Kelly -0.074%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.62%24.64%24.61%26.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.703.704.0529.41%27.06%27.03%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Universidad de Chile (Visit)

Prediction 51.17%1.95fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.909%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.80%51.09%51.34%54.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.811.801.9259.88%55.33%55.56%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.19%4.13fair odd
EV -0.822%
Edge -0.201%
Kelly -0.265%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.20%24.27%24.04%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.743.704.1028.99%26.75%27.03%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportes Limache (Local): 24.64%; Universidad de Chile (Visit): 51.17%; Draw: 24.19%. For Deportes Limache (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.05, with an expected value of -0.226%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.69%EV -0.226%E -0.056%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.32%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.99%EV -7.11%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 21:24
Pinnacle🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.78%EV -0.472%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.79%EV -6.86%E -3.77%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.43%EV -0.822%E -0.201%K -0.265%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 21:25
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -1.46%E -0.364%K -0.486%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -10.44%E -5.97%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 21:25
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -1.46%E -0.364%K -0.486%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -14.54%E -8.71%K -21.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 21:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.45%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 21:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.45%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 21:24
BetUS🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.45%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 21:24
Bet Victor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 21:18
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 21:19
Marathon Bet🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 23.90%EV -4.41%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -8.91%E -5.01%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.02%EV -6.63%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 21:24
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -6.35%E -3.47%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -4.45%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 21:19
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -9.42%E -5.32%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 21:18
BetAnything🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -9.42%E -5.32%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 21:19
Coolbet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.38%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.57%EV -1.74%E -0.909%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 21:14
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.38%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 21:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.38%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 21:25
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.38%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -8.91%E -5.01%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 21:19
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 21:24
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -10.44%E -5.97%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 21:19
GTbets🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.15%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.56%EV -7.35%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 21:09
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.33%E -2.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 21:24
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.33%E -2.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 21:24
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -8.91%E -5.01%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 21:24
PlayUp🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.16%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -14.13%E -3.98%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.33%EV -11.47%E -6.63%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 21:19
Codere (IT)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -6.35%E -3.47%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 21:14
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.35%E -3.47%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 21:19
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 21:23
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 21:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 21:14
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 21:14
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.44%E -5.97%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 21:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.44%E -5.97%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 21:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.44%E -5.97%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 21:19
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.44%E -5.97%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 21:19
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.44%E -5.97%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 21:15
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.44%E -5.97%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 21:15
Grosvenor🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -12.54%E -3.53%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -2.26%E -1.18%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 21:24
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -12.54%E -3.53%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -2.26%E -1.18%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 21:25
TABtouch🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -12.54%E -3.53%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -2.26%E -1.18%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 21:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -12.54%E -3.53%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -2.26%E -1.18%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 21:24
Unibet (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -12.54%E -3.53%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -2.26%E -1.18%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 21:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -12.54%E -3.53%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.21%EV -6.86%E -3.77%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 21:14
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 21:14
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.26%EV -8.91%E -5.01%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 21:15
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -16.24%E -4.78%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.80%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -16.55%E -4.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 21:04
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -16.24%E -4.78%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -6.35%E -3.47%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 21:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -16.24%E -4.78%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -6.35%E -3.47%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 21:25
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -16.24%E -4.78%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -11.47%E -6.63%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-15 21:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-08-15 21:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-15 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-15 21:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-15 21:19
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-15 21:19
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.7%2026-08-15 21:25