Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Limache v Universidad de Chile

2026-08-15 21:30 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Limache (Local)

Prediction 27.78%3.60fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -0.712%
Kelly -0.995%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.43%27.87%27.70%29.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.303.5133.33%30.63%30.30%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Universidad de Chile (Visit)

Prediction 46.42%2.15fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -4.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.97%46.24%46.36%47.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.961.952.0654.05%50.95%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.80%3.88fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.95%25.89%25.93%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.523.503.7030.77%28.44%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Deportes Limache (Local): 27.78%; Universidad de Chile (Visit): 46.42%; Draw: 25.80%. For Deportes Limache (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.60. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.51, with an expected value of -2.50%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 26.49%EV -2.50%E -0.712%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -9.48%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-10 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 27.42%EV -6.11%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -6.69%E -3.33%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-10 00:15
Pinnacle🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.08%EV -6.39%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.37%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.99%EV -6.09%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 01:30
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 02:54
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 02:55
1xBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.48%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-10 01:19
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.48%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 00:30
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-10 01:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-10 01:19
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-10 01:19
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-10 00:19
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -11.80%E -6.21%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -10.99%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -14.12%E -7.63%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-10 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 00:20
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-10 00:19
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-10 00:19
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -12.72%E -6.77%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-10 00:20
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.48%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-10 00:19
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.48%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-10 00:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.48%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-10 00:19
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -16.66%E -5.55%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -9.48%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-10 00:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 27.79%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.93%8.0%2026-08-10 01:05
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 27.07%1.86I 53.76%NM 45.85%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.07%17.3%2026-08-10 00:30